|

USD/JPY jumps to fresh daily peak, eyes mid-134.00s on upbeat US PMI prints

  • USD/JPY rebounds swiftly from the weekly low amid a fresh wave of USD buying.
  • The upbeat US PMIs reaffirm bets for more Fed rate hikes and boost the Greenback.
  • Spot prices remain on track to register modest gains for the second successive week.

The USD/JPY pair attracts some dip-buying in the vicinity of the 133.55 region during the early North American session and recovers its early lost ground to the weekly low. Spot prices touch a fresh daily peak, around the 134.30 region, and for now, seem to have stalled this week's retracement slide from the highest level since mid-March.

The US Dollar (USD) jumps back closer to the weekly high following the release of the US PMI prints, which, in turn, is seen as a key factor pushing the USD/JPY pair higher. In fact, S&P Global reported this Friday that business activity in the US private sector expanded at a strengthening pace in April, with the Composite PMI rising to 53.5 from 52.3 in March. Adding to this, the gauge for the manufacturing moves in the expansion territory and comes in at 50.4, while Services PMI edges higher to 53.7, also surpassing consensus estimates.

The data reaffirmed expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will continue raising interest rates, which leads to a goodish intraday recovery in the US Treasury bond yields and benefits the Greenback. The Japanese Yen (JPY), however, might continue to draw support from expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) could begin to phase out its massive stimulus programme later this year. The bets were lifted by the domestic consumer inflation figures released earlier this Friday, which might contribute to capping the upside for the USD/JPY pair,

Hence, it will be prudent to wait for strong follow-through buying before traders start positioning for the resumption of the recent move-up from the vicinity of mid-130.00s, or the monthly low. Nevertheless, the USD/JPY pair remains on track to end in the green for the second straight week.

Technical levels to watch

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price134.3
Today Daily Change0.06
Today Daily Change %0.04
Today daily open134.24
 
Trends
Daily SMA20132.76
Daily SMA50133.69
Daily SMA100133.01
Daily SMA200137.09
 
Levels
Previous Daily High134.97
Previous Daily Low134.01
Previous Weekly High134.04
Previous Weekly Low131.83
Previous Monthly High137.91
Previous Monthly Low129.64
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%134.38
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%134.61
Daily Pivot Point S1133.84
Daily Pivot Point S2133.45
Daily Pivot Point S3132.88
Daily Pivot Point R1134.8
Daily Pivot Point R2135.37
Daily Pivot Point R3135.76

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD drops to daily lows near 1.1630

EUR/USD now loses some traction and slips back to the area of daily lows around 1.1630 on the back of a mild bounce in the US Dollar. Fresh US data, including the September PCE inflation numbers and the latest read on December consumer sentiment, didn’t really move the needle, so the pair is still on course to finish the week with a respectable gain.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold makes a U-turn, back to $4,200

Gold is now losing the grip and receding to the key $4,200 region per troy ounce following some signs of life in the Greenback and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the board. The positive outlook for the precious metal, however, remains underpinned by steady bets for extra easing by the Fed.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains above $3,100, reflecting positive sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on December 10.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.