USD/JPY consolidates near 1-week tops, just above 105.00 mark


  • USD/JPY gained traction for the third straight day and recovered further from multi-month lows.
  • Sustained USD buying interest amid concerns about rising COVID-19 cases remained supportive.
  • The prevalent risk-on mood undermined the safe-haven JPY and provided an additional boost.

The prevalent USD buying interest pushed the USD/JPY pair to one-week tops, around the 105.20 region during the Asian session on Wednesday.

A combination of factors assisted the pair to gain traction for the third consecutive session and build on this week's goodish recovery move from the 104.00 mark, or over six-month lows touched on Monday. Concerns about the second wave of coronavirus infections and fears of renewed lockdown measures to contain the outbreak continued benefitted the US dollar's status as the global reserve currency.

The greenback was further supported by the overnight hawkish comments by Chicago Fed President Charles Evans, saying that further quantitative easing may not provide additional lift to the US economy. Evans further added that it is possible for the Fed to raise interest rates before inflation starts to average 2%, though acknowledged the risk of longer, slower economic recovery and recessionary dynamics if Congress fails to pass an additional fiscal stimulus package.

Apart from a broad-based USD strength, a positive tone around the equity markets undermined the Japanese yen's safe-haven demand and provided an additional boost to the USD/JPY pair. The momentum now seems to have stalled near 200-hour SMA, warranting some caution for bullish traders and before positioning for any further near-term appreciating move.

Meanwhile, developments surrounding the coronavirus saga and the broader market risk sentiment will continue to play a key role in influencing the USD/JPY pair. Later during the early North American session, the release of the flash version of the US Manufacturing and Services PMI prints for September, along with the Fed Chair Jerome Powell's second day of congressional testimony will also be looked upon for some short-term trading opportunities.

Technical levels to watch

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price 105.11
Today Daily Change 0.18
Today Daily Change % 0.17
Today daily open 104.93
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 105.71
Daily SMA50 105.98
Daily SMA100 106.71
Daily SMA200 107.7
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 105.08
Previous Daily Low 104.41
Previous Weekly High 106.17
Previous Weekly Low 104.27
Previous Monthly High 107.05
Previous Monthly Low 105.1
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 104.82
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 104.66
Daily Pivot Point S1 104.53
Daily Pivot Point S2 104.13
Daily Pivot Point S3 103.86
Daily Pivot Point R1 105.2
Daily Pivot Point R2 105.48
Daily Pivot Point R3 105.88

 

 

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