|

USD/JPY bounces off multi-day lows, steady above mid-109.00s ahead of US ISM PMI

  • USD/JPY attracted some dip-buying on Tuesday and stalled its recent corrective slide.
  • The safe-haven JPY was weighed down by the prevalent risk-on mood, COVID-19 jitters.
  • An uptick in the US bond yields remained supportive’ sustained USD selling capped gains.

The USD/JPY pair managed to recover over 35 pips from multi-day lows and climbed to fresh daily tops, around the 109.65-70 region during the mid-European session.

The pair extended last week's retracement slide from the highest level since April 6 and witnessed some selling through the first half of the trading action on Tuesday. However, a combination of factors helped limit any further losses, rather assisted the USD/JPY pair to find some support near the 109.30-35 region.

The prevalent risk-on environment, as depicted by a relentless rally in the global equity markets, undermined the safe-haven Japanese yen. Apart from this, concerns that an extended state of emergency in Tokyo and eight other prefectures could hinder Japan's fragile economic recovery further acted as a headwind for the JPY.

Bulls further took cues from a goodish pickup in the US Treasury bond yields, though sustained US dollar selling kept a lid on any strong gains for the USD/JPY pair. The USD languished near multi-month lows amid growing market conviction that the Fed will retain its ultra-lose monetary policy for a longer period.

Hence, it will be prudent to wait for some strong follow-through buying before positioning for any meaningful upside. Market participants now look forward to the release of the US ISM Manufacturing PMI. This, along with speeches by Fed Vice Chair Randal Quarles and Governor Lael Brainard, would influence the USD price dynamics.

Apart from this, the broader market risk sentiment will play a key role in driving the USD/JPY pair and allow traders to grab some short-term opportunities.

Technical levels to watch

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price109.6
Today Daily Change0.00
Today Daily Change %0.00
Today daily open109.6
 
Trends
Daily SMA20109.16
Daily SMA50109.16
Daily SMA100107.53
Daily SMA200106.13
 
Levels
Previous Daily High109.94
Previous Daily Low109.35
Previous Weekly High110.2
Previous Weekly Low108.56
Previous Monthly High110.2
Previous Monthly Low108.34
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%109.58
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%109.71
Daily Pivot Point S1109.32
Daily Pivot Point S2109.04
Daily Pivot Point S3108.74
Daily Pivot Point R1109.91
Daily Pivot Point R2110.21
Daily Pivot Point R3110.49

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD retreats below 1.1750 on modest USD recovery

EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure and trades below 1.1750 on Friday. Although trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, the modest recovery seen in the US Dollar causes the pair to edge lower. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes above 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and moves sideways above 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold reverses its direction and advances toward $4,400 after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking before the New Year holiday. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).