|

USD/JPY bounces off multi-day lows, steady above mid-109.00s ahead of US ISM PMI

  • USD/JPY attracted some dip-buying on Tuesday and stalled its recent corrective slide.
  • The safe-haven JPY was weighed down by the prevalent risk-on mood, COVID-19 jitters.
  • An uptick in the US bond yields remained supportive’ sustained USD selling capped gains.

The USD/JPY pair managed to recover over 35 pips from multi-day lows and climbed to fresh daily tops, around the 109.65-70 region during the mid-European session.

The pair extended last week's retracement slide from the highest level since April 6 and witnessed some selling through the first half of the trading action on Tuesday. However, a combination of factors helped limit any further losses, rather assisted the USD/JPY pair to find some support near the 109.30-35 region.

The prevalent risk-on environment, as depicted by a relentless rally in the global equity markets, undermined the safe-haven Japanese yen. Apart from this, concerns that an extended state of emergency in Tokyo and eight other prefectures could hinder Japan's fragile economic recovery further acted as a headwind for the JPY.

Bulls further took cues from a goodish pickup in the US Treasury bond yields, though sustained US dollar selling kept a lid on any strong gains for the USD/JPY pair. The USD languished near multi-month lows amid growing market conviction that the Fed will retain its ultra-lose monetary policy for a longer period.

Hence, it will be prudent to wait for some strong follow-through buying before positioning for any meaningful upside. Market participants now look forward to the release of the US ISM Manufacturing PMI. This, along with speeches by Fed Vice Chair Randal Quarles and Governor Lael Brainard, would influence the USD price dynamics.

Apart from this, the broader market risk sentiment will play a key role in driving the USD/JPY pair and allow traders to grab some short-term opportunities.

Technical levels to watch

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price109.6
Today Daily Change0.00
Today Daily Change %0.00
Today daily open109.6
 
Trends
Daily SMA20109.16
Daily SMA50109.16
Daily SMA100107.53
Daily SMA200106.13
 
Levels
Previous Daily High109.94
Previous Daily Low109.35
Previous Weekly High110.2
Previous Weekly Low108.56
Previous Monthly High110.2
Previous Monthly Low108.34
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%109.58
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%109.71
Daily Pivot Point S1109.32
Daily Pivot Point S2109.04
Daily Pivot Point S3108.74
Daily Pivot Point R1109.91
Daily Pivot Point R2110.21
Daily Pivot Point R3110.49

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD flatlines near 0.6965 as less hawkish RBA counters USD weakness

AUD/USD holds steady above a two-week low, trading near 0.6965 in the Asian session on Wednesday as early midterm election results heighten political uncertainty and weigh heavily on the US Dollar. Moreover, reviving safe-haven demand triggers a fresh leg down in US bond yields, offsetting Fed hike bets and exerting additional pressure on the buck. However, a less hawkish RBA caps the Aussie.

USD/JPY declines below 158.00 as USD weakens on midterm election results

USD/JPY comes under heavy selling pressure on Wednesday, dropping below 158.00 during the Asian session as the US Dollar slumps to a one-month low amid heightened political uncertainty after early US midterm vote counts. Moreover, the prospect of gridlock in Washington drives safe-haven flows, triggering a fresh leg down in US bond yields and further weighing on the buck.

Gold clings to gains near weekly top, comfortably above $4,000 as US elections hit USD

Gold clings to strong intraday gains near the weekly high, trading comfortably above the $4,000 psychological mark during early European session amid a broadly weaker US Dollar. Democrats’ wins in the House and Senate raise the prospect of gridlock in Washington. Moreover, heightened political uncertainty drove investors to safe-haven assets, exerting downward pressure on US bond yields. This is seen weighing on the Greenback and supporting the precious metal.

Bitcoin tests critical support, Ethereum struggles below resistance, XRP extends losses
Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) remain under pressure on Wednesday as bearish momentum continues to weigh on prices. BTC approaches key support around $76,466, and a decisive close below could open the door to deeper losses. Meanwhile, ETH struggles below key resistance while XRP faces rejection at the upper trendline of a falling channel pattern, all hinting at deeper losses.
ADP Employment Report expected to show slower job growth in October

The Automatic Data Processing Research Institute is due to release October’s private-sector employment report on Wednesday. The market consensus anticipates a moderate slowdown in job creation, with the ADP Employment Change expected to show 69K new private jobs in October, down from 90K in September.

The 2% inflation target came from a throwaway remark. It now moves trillions
The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation goal grew out of an off-the-cuff remark by a New Zealand politician in 1988. Bond investors still price long-term US debt as if 2% holds, so a change in how the Fed measures inflation would move markets.