USD/INR Price News: Indian rupee looks north, risk-off may play spoilsport

USD/INR's break below 100-day SMA suggests scope for continued gains in the rupee.
A pullback in stocks from record highs could yield temporary dollar strength.

Omkar Godbole FXStreet Contributor

The USD/INR pair closed below the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of 74.15 on Wednesday, paving the way for stronger gains in the Indian rupee in the near-term.

The Indian currency has risen from 74.75 to 74.11 per US dollar in the past few days amid the risk-on rally in the domestic and global stock markets. Risk assets, in general, have been bid this month on expectations that potential coronavirus vaccines would power a swift global economic recovery in 2021.

With the latest reports stating that Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine deliveries could start before Christmas, the path of least resistance for both stocks and the Indian rupee remains on the higher side. That said, at record highs, stocks look vulnerable to a technical pullback, which would put a bid under the greenback.

The dollar index, which gauges the greenback's value against majors, is trading in the green at press time, following the overnight losses on Wall Street. Additional bearish pressure for the rupee may stem from a potential breakout in Brent oil prices above the recent high of $45.30. That possibility cannot be ruled out as the OPEC+ is reportedly planning to delay the output boost planned to take effect in January.

Technical levels

USD/INR

Overview
Today last price	74.2686
Today Daily Change	0.1239
Today Daily Change %	0.17
Today daily open	74.1447

Trends
Daily SMA20	74.2279
Daily SMA50	73.7774
Daily SMA100	74.1656
Daily SMA200	74.62

Levels
Previous Daily High	74.5584
Previous Daily Low	74.0672
Previous Weekly High	74.795
Previous Weekly Low	73.6492
Previous Monthly High	74.693
Previous Monthly Low	72.9572
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	74.2548
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	74.3707
Daily Pivot Point S1	73.9551
Daily Pivot Point S2	73.7656
Daily Pivot Point S3	73.464
Daily Pivot Point R1	74.4463
Daily Pivot Point R2	74.7479
Daily Pivot Point R3	74.9374

Author

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

AUD/USD climbs toward 0.7000 after strong China data dump

AUD/USD attracts follow-through buyers for the second straight day on Monday, extending last week's recovery toward 0.7000 in Monday's Asian trading. Strong Chniese Q3 GDP and activity data for September strengthen the pair's advance, following RBA Assistant Governor Chris Kent's hawkish remarks.

USD/JPY struggles near 158.00 amid hawkish BoJ, subdued USD

USD/JPY remains defensive near 158.00 in the Asian session on Monday, as the US Dollar remains depressed near a two-week low amid the recent decline in US bond yields. Furthermore, looming intervention risks underpin the Japanese Yen and weigh on the pair amid BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda's hawkish remarks. However, Fed rate-hike bets and geopolitical uncertainties could limit USD losses and the major.

Gold bulls hesitant below $4,200 as Fed risks and firmer USD cap intraday gains

Gold struggles to capitalize on modest intraday gains and remains below the $4,200 mark, well within a three-week-old trading range. US Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s unwillingness to offer fresh cues on further policy moves forced investors to price out the possibility of policy tightening later this month. Moreover, the recent sharp pullback in US government bond yields from multi-year highs, which dragged the US Dollar to a two-week low on Friday, acts as a tailwind for bullion.

Pi Network: Weak momentum and waning demand reinforce downside bias

Pi Network edges lower, risking a bearish conclusion to its short-term consolidation above the $0.0774 horizontal support. A steady decline in the notional value of active PI futures contracts and the weekly spot trading volume suggests reduced retail demand. The PI token risks a retest of its record low around $0.0704 as bearish momentum remains dominant on the daily chart.

Canada CPI expected to show a pick-up in inflation in September

Canada’s September CPI figures will be the focus of attention on Monday. Indeed, Statistics Canada data will provide markets with an update on price pressures ahead of the BoC’s October 28 gathering, when officials are expected to keep the interest rate steady at 2.25%, broadly in line with analyst consensus.

Everyone's dumping Gold after hot US inflation. Here's why $4,100 could be a floor, not a cliff

Gold (XAU/USD) is recovering from a sharp sell-off triggered by hotter-than-expected United States (US) inflation data released on Wednesday. The precious metal briefly plunged toward $4,073 as investors increased their bets on further Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hikes before recovering as US Treasury yields and the US Dollar (USD) reversed their initial gains.