|

USD Index Price Analysis: Extra losses look likely below 104.00

-  DXY manages to regain some composure following Tuesday’s sell-off.

-  Losses are expected to accelerate below the monthly low of 103.98.


DXY attempts a mild recovery to the 104.30/40 band after bottoming out just below the 104.00 support earlier in the session on Wednesday.

The breakdown of the November low of 103.98 (November 14-15) should pave the way for a quick test of the critical 200-day SMA at 103.60 prior to the weekly low of 102.96 (August 30).

In the meantime, while above the key 200-day SMA, today at 103.60, the outlook for the index is expected to remain constructive.

DXY daily chart

Dollar Index Spot

Overview
Today last price104.34
Today Daily Change41
Today Daily Change %0.26
Today daily open104.07
 
Trends
Daily SMA20105.95
Daily SMA50105.86
Daily SMA100104.16
Daily SMA200103.61
 
Levels
Previous Daily High105.73
Previous Daily Low103.99
Previous Weekly High106.01
Previous Weekly Low104.85
Previous Monthly High107.35
Previous Monthly Low105.35
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%104.65
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%105.07
Daily Pivot Point S1103.46
Daily Pivot Point S2102.85
Daily Pivot Point S3101.72
Daily Pivot Point R1105.21
Daily Pivot Point R2106.34
Daily Pivot Point R3106.95

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD holds steady near 0.7200 amid escalating US-Iran tensions

AUD/USD consolidates just below its highest level since mid-May, touched on Friday, and hovers around 0.7200 at the start of a new week amid mixed cues. Hawkish RBA expectations continue to act as a tailwind for the Aussie. Meanwhile, the upbeat US NFP report lifted Fed rate hike bets, which, along with escalating US-Iran tensions, underpins the safe-haven US Dollar and caps the currency pair.

USD/JPY collapses to seven-month lows near 154.00

USD/JPY extends its decline on Monday, sliding to the area of seven-month lows near the 154.00 neighbourhood, all amid an increasingly hawkish repricing of the BoJ’s policy outlook and repatriation chatter.

Gold recovers intraday losses to sub-$4,400 as USD slumps despite Fed rate hike bets

Gold shows some resilience below the $4,400 mark, and recovers intraday losses during the first half of the European session. Any meaningful upside, however, seems limited as traders might opt to wait on the sidelines ahead of the latest US inflation figures, due later this week.

Bittensor: TAO eyes $300 amid launch on Raydium, parody meme coin, ChatGPT-6 Astra release

Bittensor is trading in the green on Monday, continuing a steady upward trend over the last five days, with a 25% gain. Social chatter surrounding Bittensor is increasing amid a similarly named meme coin launched on Solana and the release of ChatGPT-6 Astra. The technical outlook for TAO is bullish as momentum strengthens and buyers target the $300 breakout.

Strong US jobs, Middle East tensions and key inflation data ahead
Good morning all, hope you enjoyed your weekend. Markets are starting the week after Friday’s stronger-than-expected US jobs report, which increased expectations that the Fed could raise rates at its September meeting. However, US markets are closed today for the Labor Day holiday, so liquidity should be lower and we may see slower price action.
Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.