|

USD/CNH Technical Analysis: Off 5.5-month lows, but bears remain in control

  • USD/CNH has recovered slightly from 5.5-month lows. 
  • The weekly chart is still reporting a strong bearish bias. 
  • The pair appears on track to test support near 6.8622.

USD/CNH has bounced slightly from multi-month lows, but the path of least resistance remains to the downside. 

The pair is currently trading at 6.9264, having hit a low of 6.9169 Thursday. That was the lowest level since Aug. 1.

While the pair has recovered from 5.5-month low, the pair is still trapped in a falling channel on the weekly chart with the relative strength index reporting bearish conditions with a below-50 print. 

Further, the weekly candle has convincingly breached the trendline rising from March 2018 and April 2019 lows, having faced rejection at the descending 5-week average. 

All in all, the odds remain stacked in favor of a deeper slide to the falling channel support, currently seen at 6.8622. 

A close above 7.0217 (December high) is needed to invalidate the lower highs setup on the daily chart and weaken the case for a slide to 6.8622, put forward by the weekly chart

Weekly chart

Trend: Bearish

Technical levels

USD/CNH

Overview
Today last price6.9264
Today Daily Change0.0011
Today Daily Change %0.02
Today daily open6.9265
 
Trends
Daily SMA206.9803
Daily SMA507.0057
Daily SMA1007.0577
Daily SMA2006.9711
 
Levels
Previous Daily High6.9394
Previous Daily Low6.917
Previous Weekly High6.9942
Previous Weekly Low6.9424
Previous Monthly High7.0879
Previous Monthly Low6.9048
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%6.9256
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%6.9309
Daily Pivot Point S16.9159
Daily Pivot Point S26.9053
Daily Pivot Point S36.8935
Daily Pivot Point R16.9382
Daily Pivot Point R26.95
Daily Pivot Point R36.9606

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles for direction amid USD gains

EUR/USD is trimming part of its earlier gains, coming under some mild downside pressure near 1.1730 as the US Dollar edges higher. Markets are still digesting the Fed’s latest rate decision, while also looking ahead to more commentary from Fed officials in the sessions ahead.

GBP/USD drops to daily lows near 1.3360

Disappointing UK data weighed on the Sterling towards the end of the week, triggering a pullback in GBP/USD to fresh daily lows near 1.3360. Looking ahead, the next key event across the Channel is the BoE meeting on December 18.

Gold losses momentum, challenges $4,300

Gold now gives away some gains and disputes the key $4,300 zone per troy ounce following earlier multi-week highs. The move is being driven by expectations that the Fed will deliver further rate cuts next year, with the yellow metal climbing despite a firmer Greenback and rising US Treasury yields across the board.

Litecoin Price Forecast: LTC struggles to extend gains, bullish bets at risk

Litecoin (LTC) price steadies above $80 at press time on Friday, following a reversal from the $87 resistance level on Wednesday. Derivatives data suggests a bullish positional buildup while the LTC futures Open Interest declines, flashing a long squeeze risk.

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.