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USD/CHF trades with modest gains near mid-0.9300s, highest since September 30

  • USD/CHF climbed to the highest level since late September during the early European session.
  • The uptick seemed unaffected by a softer risk tone, which tends to benefit the safe-haven CHF.
  • Retreating US bond yields kept the USD on the defensive, though did little to stall the move up.

The USD/CHF pair traded with a positive bias through the early European session and was last seen trading near the highest level since late September, just below mid-0.9300s.

Having defended the 0.9300 mark on Tuesday, the USD/CHF pair attracted fresh buying on Wednesday and now seems all set to build on a three-week-old upward trajectory. The uptick seemed unaffected by the prevalent cautious mood, amid concerns over the rising number of COVID-19 cases in Europe, which tends to underpin the safe-haven Swiss franc.

Bulls even shrugged off a subdued US dollar price action, led by retreating US Treasury bond yields. That said, acceptance that the Fed would be forced to hike interest rate sooner than later to contain stubbornly high inflation acted as a tailwind for the greenback. The bets were lifted further after Jerome Powell's renomination for the role of the Fed chair.

Meanwhile, the possibility for an eventual Fed rate hike move by July 2022 already seems to be priced in the markets. This might hold back the USD bulls from placing aggressive bets. However, the Fed funds futures indicate a high likelihood of another raise by November and support prospects for a further near-term appreciating move for the USD/CHF pair.

Market participants now look forward to the US economic docket, highlighting the releases of the Prelim (second estimate) US Q3 GDP, Durable Goods Orders and Core PCE Price Index later during the early North American session. This, along with the FOMC meeting minutes, will influence the USD price dynamics and provide a fresh impetus to the USD/CHF pair.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.934
Today Daily Change0.0008
Today Daily Change %0.09
Today daily open0.9332
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9198
Daily SMA500.9232
Daily SMA1000.9195
Daily SMA2000.9173
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9344
Previous Daily Low0.9301
Previous Weekly High0.933
Previous Weekly Low0.9187
Previous Monthly High0.9338
Previous Monthly Low0.9106
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9328
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9318
Daily Pivot Point S10.9307
Daily Pivot Point S20.9283
Daily Pivot Point S30.9264
Daily Pivot Point R10.9351
Daily Pivot Point R20.9369
Daily Pivot Point R30.9394

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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