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USD/CHF rises towards 0.9000, eyes on bearish SMA cross

  • The USD/CHF is seen at 0.9015 with 0.15% gains.
  • The 20-day SMA is about to perform a bearish cross with the 200-day SMA.
  • Several Fed officials were on the wires but didn’t provide any highlights. Powell speaks on Wednesday.

The USD/CHF accelerated its gains on Tuesday's session and rose to the 0.9015 zone, with a strong US dollar and a negative market mood contributing to the pair's movements.

As the bears took a breather, the USD/CHF managed to gain additional momentum while there were no highlights during the session. Neel Kashkari, Austan Goolsbee and Michael Barr from the Federal Reserve (Fed) spoke on Tuesday but didn’t provide markets with any new guidance. They were seen as somewhat cautious, welcoming the latest positive inflation figures and still attaching themselves to a data-dependency approach. Chair Powell will speak on Wednesday, where investors will look for further clues on what the Fed will decide in its last meeting of 2023.

As for now, the CME FedWatch tool indicates that the odds of a 25 basis point hike for the December meeting are still low. Next week, the US will report October Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which will likely make those expectations move based on its outcome.


USD/CHF levels to watch

The daily chart analysis indicates a neutral to bearish outlook for USD/CHF, as the bears seem to be taking a breather after gaining significant ground. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) gained a slight slope in positive territory, while the Moving Average Convergence (MACD) presents decreasing green bars. On the broader picture, markets should we the convergence of the 20 and 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) convergence at 0.9000 as they are about to perform a bearish cross, which could reignite the bearish momentum.

Supports: 0.9000 (20 and 200-day SMA convergence), 0.8950, 0.8930.
Resistances: 0.9040, 0.9050, 0.9080

USD/CHF Daily chart

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9011
Today Daily Change0.0021
Today Daily Change %0.23
Today daily open0.899
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9003
Daily SMA500.9004
Daily SMA1000.89
Daily SMA2000.9003
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.902
Previous Daily Low0.8954
Previous Weekly High0.9113
Previous Weekly Low0.8966
Previous Monthly High0.9244
Previous Monthly Low0.8888
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8979
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.8995
Daily Pivot Point S10.8955
Daily Pivot Point S20.8921
Daily Pivot Point S30.8889
Daily Pivot Point R10.9022
Daily Pivot Point R20.9054
Daily Pivot Point R30.9089

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

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