|

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Bears remain hopeful of refreshing monthly low under 0.9500

  • USD/CHF fades corrective pullback from one-week bottom marked the previous day.
  • Sustained break of short-term ascending trend line, bearish MACD signals favor sellers.
  • Bulls need validation from the 200-SMA to retake control.

USD/CHF remains depressed around 0.9550 amid a sluggish Asian session on Tuesday. Even so, the sellers remain hopeful while tracing a downside break of a one-week-old ascending trend line.

In addition to the weekly support break, the bearish MACD signals and the pair’s sustained trading below the 200-SMA also favor USD/CHF sellers.

That said, the pair is all set to challenge the yearly low surrounding 0.9470, with the 0.9500 threshold likely acting as an intermediate halt.

In a case where USD/CHF bears dominate past 0.9470, the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of July 14 to August 03 moves, near 0.9390, will be in focus.

Alternatively, the previous support line from August 02, close to 0.9565 at the latest, guards the quote’s recovery moves.

However, major attention will be given to the 200-SMA level of 0.9650 as a successful break above the same could enable USD/CHF bulls to aim for the late July swing high around 0.9740.

Overall, USD/CHF is likely to remain on the bear’s radar despite the latest inaction.

USD/CHF: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.9552
Today Daily Change-0.0002
Today Daily Change %-0.02%
Today daily open0.9554
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9651
Daily SMA500.968
Daily SMA1000.9628
Daily SMA2000.9426
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9635
Previous Daily Low0.9522
Previous Weekly High0.9652
Previous Weekly Low0.9471
Previous Monthly High0.9886
Previous Monthly Low0.9502
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9565
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9592
Daily Pivot Point S10.9506
Daily Pivot Point S20.9457
Daily Pivot Point S30.9392
Daily Pivot Point R10.9619
Daily Pivot Point R20.9684
Daily Pivot Point R30.9732

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD extends slide below 1.1700

The EUR/USD pair nears its weekly low at around 1.1660 in the American session on Tuesday, retreating from the 1.1750 price zone tested earlier in the day. Cautiously optimistic markets support the US Dollar in the near term.

GBP/USD consolidates around 1.3500; looks to US macro data for fresh impetus

The GBP/USD pair oscillates in a narrow range, around the 1.3500 psychological mark during the Asian session on Wednesday, and for now, seems to have stalled the previous day's retracement slide from its highest level since September 18. Moreover, the fundamental backdrop seems tilted in favor of bullish traders and suggests that the path of least resistance for spot prices is to the upside.

Gold sees profit-taking decline after facing rejection at $4,500

Gold price sees a decline on profit-taking after facing rejection at $4,500 in the Asian trading hours on Wednesday. Despite the pullback, the traditional safe haven remains underpinned by geopolitical tensions and expectations of Fed rate cuts. The US ADP Jobs data, JOLTS Job Openings Survey and ISM Services Purchasing Managers Index report will be published on Wednesday. 

Pump.fun prepares for early-year rally as DEX volume skyrockets

Pump.fun (PUMP) is rising alongside crypto majors such as Bitcoin (BTC) and is trading above $0.002400 at the time of writing on Tuesday. The Decentralized Exchange (DEX) native token outlook builds on a bullish tone developed since December 30.

Implications of US intervention in Venezuela

Events in Venezuela are top of mind for market participants, and while developments are associated with an elevated degree of uncertainty, we are not making any changes to our markets or economic forecasts as a result of the deposition of Nicolás Maduro. 

Cardano holds steady as bulls intensify push for breakout

Cardano rises above the 50-day EMA resistance amid a risk-on mood across the crypto market. The MACD upholds positive divergence, increasing the potential for a 20% breakout to $0.505.