USD/CHF erases recovery gains, retreats to 0.9720 area ahead of Powell


  • Consumer confidence in June deteriorates in the United States.
  • 10-year US T-bond yield drops below 2%, Wall Street remains in red.
  • FOMC Chairman Powell is scheduled to talk about the monetary policy later today.

Despite the broad selling pressure surrounding the greenback, the USD/CHF pair staged a modest rebound today as investors started to speculate the possibility of the Swiss National Bank intervening in the market to stop the CHF from gathering further value. After climbing to 0.9775, however, the pair failed to preserve its strength and, once again, turned south and dropped to 0.9720 area to retrace its daily rebound. As of writing, the pair was up only 10 pips on the day at 0.9728.

Today's data from the U.S. showed that the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index dropped to its lowest level in nearly two years in June. Commenting on the data, "The Conference Board’s consumer confidence index declined to 121.5 in June from April’s revised 131.3. A much more modest drop to 131.2 had been predicted.   “The escalation in trade and tariff tensions earlier this month appears to have shaken consumers’ confidence,” wrote Lynn Franco, Senior Director of Economic Indicators in the statement accompanying the release," noted FXStreet senior analyst Joseph Trevisani.

Other data revealed that new home sales declined by 7.8% on a monthly basis in May and the Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index dropped to 3 in June from 5 in May.

Following the disappointing data releases, the US Dollar Index stays near the 96 handle as markets are waiting for FOMC Chairman Powell to deliver his remarks on the monetary policy later in the day. Meanwhile, the 10-year Treasury bond yield slumped below the 2% mark today, suggesting a risk-off atmosphere that benefits the safe-haven CHF.

Technical levels to watch for

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price 0.9728
Today Daily Change 0.0008
Today Daily Change % 0.08
Today daily open 0.972
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.9938
Daily SMA50 1.0056
Daily SMA100 1.0033
Daily SMA200 0.9975
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.9784
Previous Daily Low 0.971
Previous Weekly High 1.0016
Previous Weekly Low 0.9756
Previous Monthly High 1.0227
Previous Monthly Low 1
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.9738
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.9756
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.9692
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.9664
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.9618
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.9766
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.9812
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.984

 

 

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