USD/CAD trades into the low end after back-and-forth Monday action, looking for 1.3450

USD/CAD testing into the 1.3450 level after cycling on Monday.
The US Dollar is broadly higher, but the CAD is catching a late-day bump in crude oil prices.
Economic calendar is mostly devoid of CAD data, leaving things open for US GDP figures on Thursday.

Joshua Gibson FXStreet

The USD/CAD slipped a scant 0.2% for Monday, after tapping into a mild intraday high of 1.3491.

The pair has fallen about 1.7% from September's peak near 1.3694. Oil prices have been squeezing higher on market-wide supply constraint fears, which has been bolstering the commodity-based Loonie (CAD) despite the US Dollar's (USD) broad rise across the market.

There is little of note on the economic calendar for Canada this week, and focus will squarely be on USD data impact.

Thursday will see US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures, as well as a speech from Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell. Annualized GDP for the second quarter is forecast to tick higher from 2.1% to 2.3%.

On Friday, we will see US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) data, which is expected to hold steady for the month of August at 0.2%.

Canadian GDP numbers will also land on Friday, but market impact is likely to be muted as US data churns the charts.

Canadian GDP for the month of July is expected to print at a flat 0%, but still an improvement over the previous month's 0.2% decline.

USD/CAD technical outlook

The USD/CAD saw a clean rejection of the 200-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) in intraday trading, and is set for a challenge of a rising near-term trendline from last Wednesday's swing low near 1.3400.

On daily candlesticks, the USD/CAD is strung along the 200-say SMA. A bearish push from this region will see the pair lose the 1.3400 major handle, while a bullish rebound will need to reclaim the 1.3600 level before pushing to new highs.

USD/CAD daily chart

USD/CAD technical levels

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price	1.3456
Today Daily Change	-0.0028
Today Daily Change %	-0.21
Today daily open	1.3484

Trends
Daily SMA20	1.3552
Daily SMA50	1.3441
Daily SMA100	1.34
Daily SMA200	1.3462

Levels
Previous Daily High	1.3492
Previous Daily Low	1.3424
Previous Weekly High	1.3528
Previous Weekly Low	1.3379
Previous Monthly High	1.364
Previous Monthly Low	1.3184
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1.3466
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1.345
Daily Pivot Point S1	1.3441
Daily Pivot Point S2	1.3398
Daily Pivot Point S3	1.3373
Daily Pivot Point R1	1.3509
Daily Pivot Point R2	1.3534
Daily Pivot Point R3	1.3577

Author

Joshua Gibson

FXStreet

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

EUR/USD slumps below 1.1800 on hawkish Fed Minutes, eyes on ECB succession

The EUR/USD pair tumbles to a near two-week low around 1.1785 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The US Dollar strengthens against the Euro on hawkish FOMC minutes that revived speculation about potential interest rate hikes if inflation remains elevated.

GBP/USD extends decline as weak jobs data bolsters BoE rate cut bets

The Pound Sterling continued to backslide under sustained pressure on Wednesday, following through after the UK employment report on Tuesday showed a labour market deteriorating faster than expected.

Gold consolidates the rebound below $5,000, US data eyed

Gold price consolidates the previous rebound below $5,000 in the Asian session on Thursday. The precious metal recovered on Wednesday amid shifts in geopolitical sentiment, boosting safe-haven demand. Traders will keep an eye on the release of US Initial Jobless Claims, Pending Home Sales data, and the Fedspeak later on Thursday.

Bitcoin approaches a critical zone: Bear pennant projects $56,000

Based on the most recent analyses from February 2026, the short answer is that it is highly unlikely that Bitcoin will reach $100,000 this month.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Sui extends sideways action ahead of Grayscale’s GSUI ETF launch

Sui is extending its downtrend for the second consecutive day, trading at 0.95 at the time of writing on Wednesday. The Layer-1 token is down over 16% in February and approximately 34% from the start of the year, aligning with the overall bearish sentiment across the crypto market.