USD/CAD trades into the low end after back-and-forth Monday action, looking for 1.3450

USD/CAD testing into the 1.3450 level after cycling on Monday.
The US Dollar is broadly higher, but the CAD is catching a late-day bump in crude oil prices.
Economic calendar is mostly devoid of CAD data, leaving things open for US GDP figures on Thursday.

Joshua Gibson FXStreet

The USD/CAD slipped a scant 0.2% for Monday, after tapping into a mild intraday high of 1.3491.

The pair has fallen about 1.7% from September's peak near 1.3694. Oil prices have been squeezing higher on market-wide supply constraint fears, which has been bolstering the commodity-based Loonie (CAD) despite the US Dollar's (USD) broad rise across the market.

There is little of note on the economic calendar for Canada this week, and focus will squarely be on USD data impact.

Thursday will see US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures, as well as a speech from Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell. Annualized GDP for the second quarter is forecast to tick higher from 2.1% to 2.3%.

On Friday, we will see US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) data, which is expected to hold steady for the month of August at 0.2%.

Canadian GDP numbers will also land on Friday, but market impact is likely to be muted as US data churns the charts.

Canadian GDP for the month of July is expected to print at a flat 0%, but still an improvement over the previous month's 0.2% decline.

USD/CAD technical outlook

The USD/CAD saw a clean rejection of the 200-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) in intraday trading, and is set for a challenge of a rising near-term trendline from last Wednesday's swing low near 1.3400.

On daily candlesticks, the USD/CAD is strung along the 200-say SMA. A bearish push from this region will see the pair lose the 1.3400 major handle, while a bullish rebound will need to reclaim the 1.3600 level before pushing to new highs.

USD/CAD daily chart

USD/CAD technical levels

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price	1.3456
Today Daily Change	-0.0028
Today Daily Change %	-0.21
Today daily open	1.3484

Trends
Daily SMA20	1.3552
Daily SMA50	1.3441
Daily SMA100	1.34
Daily SMA200	1.3462

Levels
Previous Daily High	1.3492
Previous Daily Low	1.3424
Previous Weekly High	1.3528
Previous Weekly Low	1.3379
Previous Monthly High	1.364
Previous Monthly Low	1.3184
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1.3466
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1.345
Daily Pivot Point S1	1.3441
Daily Pivot Point S2	1.3398
Daily Pivot Point S3	1.3373
Daily Pivot Point R1	1.3509
Daily Pivot Point R2	1.3534
Daily Pivot Point R3	1.3577

Author

Joshua Gibson

FXStreet

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

GBP/USD holds near Feb. 11 highs as bulls await breakout above 1.3660

The GBP/USD pair trades with a positive bias around mid-1.3600s at the start of a new week and remains well within striking distance of its highest level since February 11, touched on Friday. Moreover, the fundamental backdrop favors bullish traders and backs the case for an extension of a nearly one-month-old uptrend.

EUR/USD holds steady amid US debt strategy

EUR/USD remains stronger for the fourth successive trading day, hovering around 1.1680 during the Asian hours. The currency pair holds its ground as the US Dollar struggles under pressure from newly announced United States fiscal moves. The Treasury Department surprised financial markets by pledging to at least double its buybacks of longer-dated government debt in an attempt to rein in rising bond yields.

Gold keeps rallying toward $4,700, fresh three-month highs

Gold extends its last week's stellar performance into Asian trading on Monday, refreshing three-month highs beyond $4,600. The precious metal capitalizes on persistent US Dollar weakness, following the US Treasury's buyback plan amid fresh US-Canada trade tensions.

Bitcoin holds above $77,000 – PENGU and AAVE eye further gains

The broader cryptocurrency market is gaining momentum with Bitcoin above $77,000 holding its 23% gains from last week. Renewed institutional demand, with $1.92 billion in inflows last week, the largest so far in 2026, backs the risk-on sentiment. Pudgy Penguins and Aave have emerged as top performers over the last 24 hours.

US Dollar Weekly Forecast: Enter Jackson, mind the (budget) Hole

It was not geopolitics, the US-Japan joint FX intervention to support the beleaguered Japanese currency or the omnipresent bets on what the Federal Reserve (Fed) might do in the second half of the year that kept the US Dollar (USD) well on the back foot over the past five days.

$20 billion offered, $2 billion taken: Why Treasury doubled its buyback cap

The US Treasury moved off its own calendar on Wednesday, and that is the part worth sitting with. At 12:32 GMT, the department said it would at least double the size of liquidity support buyback operations in the 10-year to 20-year and 20-year to 30-year sectors, lifting the maximum from $2 billion per operation to at least $4 billion, effective September 9 and running to November 4.