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USD/CAD trades in red near 1.3270 ahead of US data

  • Crude oil recovery loses steam, WTI trades around $51.
  • US Dollar Index consolidates weekly gains near 98.30.
  • Coming up on Friday: Jobs data from US and Canada.

The USD/CAD pair tested the 1.33 handle more than a few times since the start of the week but failed to make a daily close above that level. With the trading action turning subdued ahead of Friday's key macroeconomic data releases, the pair is posting small daily losses near the 1.3270 handle.

After closing the day 3.5% higher on Wednesday, the barrel of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) extended its recovery and rose above $52 before losing its traction.

According to the latest headlines, which seem to be weighing on crude oil prices, the OPEC+ Joint Technical Committee (JTC) will recommend an output cut of 600,000 barrels per day following its three-day meeting. At the moment, the WTI is down 0.3% on the day at $51, making it difficult for the commodity-sensitive loonie to stay resilient against the USD.

Eyes on employment data

In the second half of the day, Nonfarm Productivity and Unit Labor Costs from the US will be looked upon for fresh impetus. Ahead of these data, the US Dollar Index is registering small daily gains near the 98.30 mark. More importantly, investors will be paying close attention to the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report and the Canadian Unemployment data on Friday.

“The Canadian labour market is expected to begin 2020 on a subdued note, with employment forecast to rise by 10k in January on the heels of a (downwardly revised) 27k increase for December," said TD Securities analysts previewing the Canadian data. "Even though the Bank's Business Outlook Survey showed solid hiring intentions in Q4, the balance of opinion for small businesses has started to deteriorate."

Technical levels to watch for

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3272
Today Daily Change-0.0019
Today Daily Change %-0.14
Today daily open1.3291
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.314
Daily SMA501.314
Daily SMA1001.3179
Daily SMA2001.3226
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3304
Previous Daily Low1.3263
Previous Weekly High1.3255
Previous Weekly Low1.3148
Previous Monthly High1.3255
Previous Monthly Low1.29
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3288
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3279
Daily Pivot Point S11.3268
Daily Pivot Point S21.3245
Daily Pivot Point S31.3227
Daily Pivot Point R11.3309
Daily Pivot Point R21.3327
Daily Pivot Point R31.335

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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