|

USD/CAD tackles to hold above 1.3740 ahead of Tuesday’s US inflation data

  • USD/CAD opens the day at 1.3724 and trades at 1.3738, up by 0.10%.
  • The intraday price movements are relatively narrow at 1.3751-1.3706.
  • Market sentiment remains cautious due to the SVG collapse.
  • Investors await fresh impetus from the US CPI and Retail Sales data.
USD/CAD tackles to hold above 1.3740 ahead of Tuesday’s US inflation data

Daily price movements:

USD/CAD trades at 1.3738, slightly below 1,3740 at the press time, with the intraday price range being 1.3751 to 1.3706. The market sentiment remains cautious as investors await fresh impetus from Tuesday's upcoming US Inflation data at 12:30 GMT. The USD/CAD currency pair's price movements have been relatively narrow, struggling to gain momentum.

Investors' willingness to take risks is low due to the impact of the collapse of the Silicon Valley Bank (SVG) on global stocks. Meanwhile, the yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds has risen to approximately 3.57% as investors anticipate that US inflation data will increase the demand for safe-haven investments.

The Bank of Canada (BoC) has stated that the current monetary policy adequately controls inflation in Canada. BoC Governor Tiff Macklem has decided to maintain the current monetary policy in March to assess its effectiveness. 

Nonetheless, unexpected growth in employment figures and an increase in the employment cost index imply that inflation could rise again. Along with maintaining the current monetary policy, BoC Governor Tiff Macklem has indicated the possibility of raising interest rates if inflation unexpectedly rises.

Key economic events:

US February Consumer Price Index (CPI) scheduled for Tuesday at 12:30 GMT and US February Retail Sales on Wednesday at 12:30 GMT are critical data to be closely monitored.

Nonetheless, due to the unfortunate collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), the markets are now expecting a more accommodating approach from the Federal Reserve (Fed).

Technical view:

According to the daily chart, USD/CAD trades above its daily 20-SMA of 1.3596, indicating a short-term bullish trend. RSI(14) is at 62.250 at the time of press, indicating a buying stance. 

The daily pivot point is 1.3745, with daily resistance levels at 1.3814, 1.3896, and 1.3964 and daily support levels at 1.3663, 1.3594, and 1.3512.

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3734
Today Daily Change0.0003
Today Daily Change %0.02
Today daily open1.3731
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3596
Daily SMA501.3483
Daily SMA1001.3504
Daily SMA2001.3319
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3828
Previous Daily Low1.3677
Previous Weekly High1.3862
Previous Weekly Low1.3582
Previous Monthly High1.3666
Previous Monthly Low1.3262
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3735
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.377
Daily Pivot Point S11.3663
Daily Pivot Point S21.3594
Daily Pivot Point S31.3512
Daily Pivot Point R11.3814
Daily Pivot Point R21.3896
Daily Pivot Point R31.3964
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.