|

USD/CAD stays flat near 1.3000 despite falling crude oil prices

  • USD/CAD is trading little changed around 1.3000 on Thursday.
  • WTI stages a technical correction after six-day winning streak.
  • US Dollar Index clings to small gains above 92.00.

The USD/CAD pair is moving in an extremely tight trading range on Thursday and remains on track to close flat around 1.3000 amid the Thanksgiving Day holiday in the US.

WTI turns south on Thursday

Earlier in the week, the sharp upsurge witnessed in crude oil prices helped the commodity-related loonie to gather strength against its rivals. On Wednesday, the barrel of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) touched its highest level since early March at $46.23 supported by renewed optimism for a convincing rebound in global energy demand.

In the absence of significant fundamental drivers on Thursday, the WTI seems to have started to retrace its six-day rally and was last seen losing 1.3% on the day at $45.25. Nevertheless, the WTI's slide doesn't seem to be having a negative impact on the CAD so far.

On the other hand, the greenback, which struggled to find demand during the first half of the week, is staying relatively resilient against its peers on Thursday. However, the lack of macroeconomic data releases and the thin trading conditions suggest that the US Dollar Index (DXY) is staging a technical correction. At the moment, the DXY is up 0.12% on the day at 92.10.

On Friday, stock and bond markets in the US will reopen but close early and the market action is expected to remain subdued.

Technical levels to watch for

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3001
Today Daily Change0.0005
Today Daily Change %0.04
Today daily open1.2996
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3107
Daily SMA501.3187
Daily SMA1001.3241
Daily SMA2001.3531
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3029
Previous Daily Low1.2986
Previous Weekly High1.3142
Previous Weekly Low1.3034
Previous Monthly High1.339
Previous Monthly Low1.3081
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3003
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3013
Daily Pivot Point S11.2979
Daily Pivot Point S21.2961
Daily Pivot Point S31.2936
Daily Pivot Point R11.3022
Daily Pivot Point R21.3047
Daily Pivot Point R31.3064

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).