|

USD/CAD remains on the defensive below 1.4000 mark

  • A combination of factors kept a lid on the early USD/CAD uptick to 1.4065 area.
  • The USD remained depressed on softer-than-anticipated US consumer inflation.
  • A strong rally in oil prices underpinned the loonie and exerted some pressure.
  • The pair seemed to show some resilience and warrant some caution for bears.

The USD/CAD pair traded with a mild negative bias below the 1.40 mark, albeit managed to recover around 15 pips from daily lows post-US macro data.

The pair failed to capitalize on its early uptick to three-day tops, instead met with some fresh supply near the 1.4065 region and was being weighed down by a combination of factors. The US dollar witnessed a modest intraday pullback from two-week tops and remained on the defensive following the release of the latest US consumer inflation figures for April.

According to the data released this Tuesday, the headline US CPI plunged 0.8% MoM in April and the yearly rate decelerated more-than-anticipated to 0.3% from 1.5% previous. Adding to this, core CPI also fell short of expectations and dropped 0.4% during the reported month.

This comes on the back of a fresh leg down in the US Treasury bond yields and speculations that the Fed might be forced to push interest rates below zero. This, in turn, continued taking its toll on the US dollar and did little to ease the intraday bearish pressure.

Meanwhile, a strong rally in crude oil prices underpinned demand for the commodity-linked loonie and further contributed to the pair's weaker tone. The pullback, however, lacked any strong follow-through selling and thus, warrants some caution before placing fresh bearish bets.

Market participants now look forwards to scheduled speeches by influential FOMC members, which will play a key role in driving the sentiment surrounding the greenback and produce some meaningful trading opportunities.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3989
Today Daily Change-0.0019
Today Daily Change %-0.14
Today daily open1.4008
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.4046
Daily SMA501.4018
Daily SMA1001.3595
Daily SMA2001.3412
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.4043
Previous Daily Low1.3901
Previous Weekly High1.4173
Previous Weekly Low1.3909
Previous Monthly High1.4299
Previous Monthly Low1.385
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3988
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3955
Daily Pivot Point S11.3925
Daily Pivot Point S21.3842
Daily Pivot Point S31.3782
Daily Pivot Point R11.4067
Daily Pivot Point R21.4126
Daily Pivot Point R31.4209

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD keeps the rangebound trade near 1.1850

EUR/USD is still under pressure, drifting back towards the 1.1850 area as Monday’s session draws to a close. The modest decline in spot comes as the US Dollar picks up a bit of support, while thin liquidity and muted volatility, thanks to the US market holiday, are exaggerating price swings and keeping trading conditions choppy.
 

GBP/USD flirts with daily lows near 1.3630

GBP/USD has quickly given back Friday’s solid gains, turning lower at the start of the week and drifting back towards the 1.3630 area. The focus now shifts squarely to Tuesday’s UK labour market report, which is likely to keep the quid firmly in the spotlight and could set the tone for Cable’s next move.

Gold battle around $5,000 continues

Gold is giving back part of Friday’s sharp rebound, deflating below the key $5,000 mark per troy ounce as the new week gets underway. Modest gains in the US Dollar are keeping the metal in check, while thin trading conditions, due to the Presidents Day holiday in the US, are adding to the choppy and hesitant tone across markets.

AI Crypto Update: Bittensor eyes breakout as AI tokens falter 

The artificial intelligence (AI) cryptocurrency segment is witnessing heightened volatility, with top tokens such as Near Protocol (NEAR) struggling to gain traction amid the persistent decline in January and February.

The week ahead: Key inflation readings and why the AI trade could be overdone

It is likely to be a quiet start to the week, with US markets closed on Monday for Presidents Day. European markets are higher across the board and gold is clinging to the $5,000 level after the tamer than expected CPI report in the US reduced haven flows to precious metals.

XRP steadies in narrow range as fund inflows, futures interest rise

Ripple is trading in a narrow range between $1.45 (immediate support) and $1.50 (resistance) at the time of writing on Monday. The remittance token extended its recovery last week, peaking at $1.67 on Sunday from the weekly open at $1.43.