|

USD/CAD refreshes session tops, eyeing a move beyond 1.2100 mark

  • USD/CAD caught some bids on Friday and recovered a part of the previous day’s losses.
  • The overnight surge in the US bond yields underpinned the USD and remained supportive.
  • Bulls largely shrugged off an uptick in crude oil prices, which tend to underpin the loonie.
  • The focus will remain glued to Friday’s key release of the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge.

The USD/CAD pair held on to its intraday gains through the first half of the European session, with bulls eyeing a move beyond the 1.2100 mark.

The pair managed to regain some positive traction on the last trading day of the week and reversed a part of the previous day's retracement slide from the 1.2140 region, or one-week tops. The uptick was exclusively sponsored by a modest US dollar strength and seemed unaffected by a bullish tone around crude oil prices, which tend to underpin the commodity-linked loonie.

In fact, the yield on the benchmark 10-year US government bond jumped back above the 1.60% threshold in reaction to reports that US President Joe Biden will announce a $6 trillion budget for the fiscal year 2022. This stoked worries about rising inflationary pressures, which might force the Fed to act faster and tighten its monetary policy sooner rather than later.

Meanwhile, the Biden administration’s multi-trillion spending plan provided a strong boost to the already upbeat market mood. This was evident from an extended rally in the global equity markets, which held traders to place any aggressive bets around the safe-haven greenback. Investors also seemed reluctant ahead of another read on the US inflation.

The US Bureau of Economic Analysis is scheduled to release the Fed's preferred inflation gauge – the core PCE Price Index later during the early North American session. A stronger print will validate the higher inflation narrative and fuel speculations about an earlier than anticipated Fed lift-off. This might prompt some short-covering move around the USD/CAD pair.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.2095
Today Daily Change0.0030
Today Daily Change %0.25
Today daily open1.2065
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2136
Daily SMA501.237
Daily SMA1001.252
Daily SMA2001.2791
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2142
Previous Daily Low1.2057
Previous Weekly High1.2144
Previous Weekly Low1.2013
Previous Monthly High1.2654
Previous Monthly Low1.2266
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2089
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2109
Daily Pivot Point S11.2034
Daily Pivot Point S21.2002
Daily Pivot Point S31.1948
Daily Pivot Point R11.2119
Daily Pivot Point R21.2173
Daily Pivot Point R31.2205

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.