|

USD/CAD rebounds from multi-month lows, approaches 1.3300

  • USD/CAD fell to its lowest level since late February on Wednesday.
  • Canada posted a larger-than-expected trade deficit in June.
  • WTI went into a consolidation phase after climbing above $43.

The broad-based USD weakness and rising crude oil prices caused the USD/CAD pair to slump to its lowest level since late February at 1.3230 on Wednesday. However, the pair staged a technical correction in the American session and erased a large part of its daily losses. As of writing, USD/CAD was down 0.28% on the day at 1.3280.

WTI pullback keeps CAD bulls in check

The risk-on market environment provided a boost to crude oil on Wednesday and the barrel of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) jumped to a fresh five-month high $43.50. Furthermore, the weekly data published by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) showed that crude oil stocks in the US declined by 7.3 million barrels last week and provided an additional boost to the WTI.

Nevertheless, profit-taking caused the WTI to go into a consolidation phase in the last hour and made it difficult for the commodity-related loonie to preserve its strength. At the moment, the WTI is still up 2% on the day at $42.30.

Meanwhile, Statistics Canada reported on Wednesday that Canada's trade deficit widened to $3.19 billion in June, which was worse than the market expectation of $0.9 billion.

On the other hand, the data from the US showed that the private sector added only 167K jobs in July. On a positive note, the ISM Services PMI improved from 57.1 to 58.1 in July and beat analysts' estimate of 55. Although the US Dollar Index slumped to a daily low of 92.56 with the initial reaction to the data, it rebounded to 92.80 area and helped USD/CAD pull away from its lows. However, the lack of fundamental drivers behind the USD recovery suggests that the currency is making a technical correction and remains vulnerable in the near-term.

Technical levels to watch for

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3282
Today Daily Change-0.0037
Today Daily Change %-0.28
Today daily open1.3319
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3472
Daily SMA501.3534
Daily SMA1001.3807
Daily SMA2001.3527
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3421
Previous Daily Low1.3318
Previous Weekly High1.346
Previous Weekly Low1.3331
Previous Monthly High1.3646
Previous Monthly Low1.3331
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3357
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3381
Daily Pivot Point S11.3285
Daily Pivot Point S21.325
Daily Pivot Point S31.3182
Daily Pivot Point R11.3387
Daily Pivot Point R21.3455
Daily Pivot Point R31.349

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD extends slide toward 1.1800 on renewed USD strength

EUR/USD extends its daily slide and trades at a fresh weekly low below 1.1850 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. Renewed US Dollar strength, combined with a softer risk tone keep the pair undermined alongside downbeat German ZEW sentiment readings for February. 

GBP/USD falls below 1.3550, pressured by weak UK jobs report

GBP/USD remains under heavy bearish pressure and falls toward 1.3500 on Tuesday. The UK employment data highlighted worsening labor market conditions, bolstering bets for a BoE interest rate cut next month and making it difficult for Pound Sterling to stay resilient against its peers.

Gold recovers modestly, stays deep in red below $4,950

Gold (XAU/USD) stages a rebound but remains deep in negative territory below $4,950 after touching its weakest level in over a week near $4,850 earlier in the day. Renewed US Dollar strength makes it difficult for XAU/USD to gather recovery momentum despite the risk-averse market atmosphere.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP upside looks limited amid deteriorating retail demand

The cryptocurrency market extends weakness with major coins including Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) trading in sideways price action at the time of writing on Tuesday.

UK jobs market weakens, bolstering rate cut hopes

In the UK, the latest jobs report made for difficult reading. Nonetheless, this represents yet another reminder for the Bank of England that they need to act swiftly given the collapse in inflation expected over the coming months. 

Ripple slides to $1.45 as downside risks surge

Ripple edges lower at the time of writing on Tuesday, from the daily open of $1.48, as headwinds persist across the crypto market. A short-term support is emerging at $1.45, but a buildup of bearish positions could further weaken the derivatives market and prolong the correction.