|

USD/CAD rebounds above 1.2660 after testing 1.2600 earlier in the day

  • USD/CAD is posting small daily gains above 1.2660.
  • US Dollar Index erased majority of daily losses in American session.
  • WTI edges lower toward $70 ahead of API inventory data.

The USD/CAD pair came under strong bearish pressure in the early American session and dropped to 1.2600 area before staging a decisive rebound. As of writing, the pair was up 0.13% on a daily basis at 1.2667.

CPI-inspired USD selloff remains short-lived

Earlier in the day, the USD faced sudden selling pressure after the US Bureau of Labor Statistics announced that the Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) declined to 4% on a yearly basis in August from 4.3% in July. Furthermore, the report revealed that the annual CPI edged lower to 5.3% from 5.4% as expected.

Following a sharp decline to 92.32, however, the US Dollar Index (DXY) reversed its direction with the market mood souring after Wall Street's opening bell. Currently, the DXY is posting small daily losses at 92.53 and the S&P 500 Index is down 0.35% at 4,452.

On the other hand, the data from Canada showed that Manufacturing Sales declined by 1.5% in July, compared to analysts' estimate for a decrease of 1%. On Wednesday, August inflation figures will be featured in the Canadian economic docket.

In the meantime, the risk-averse market environment made it difficult for crude oil prices to continue to push higher. Ahead of the American Petroleum Institue's (API) Weekly Crude Oil Stock data, the barrel of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is down 0.6% at $70.20, not allowing the commodity-related loonie to erase its losses.

Technical levels to watch for

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.267
Today Daily Change0.0021
Today Daily Change %0.17
Today daily open1.2649
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2644
Daily SMA501.2581
Daily SMA1001.239
Daily SMA2001.2526
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2695
Previous Daily Low1.2638
Previous Weekly High1.2762
Previous Weekly Low1.2518
Previous Monthly High1.2949
Previous Monthly Low1.2453
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.266
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2674
Daily Pivot Point S11.2626
Daily Pivot Point S21.2603
Daily Pivot Point S31.2569
Daily Pivot Point R11.2683
Daily Pivot Point R21.2718
Daily Pivot Point R31.2741

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).