|

USD/CAD looks to continue the losing streak, hovers near 1.3650

  • USD/CAD loses ground on the likelihood of no interest rate hike by the US Fed in December.
  • US Dollar lost strength due to weaker US economic data released in the previous week.
  • BoC is expected to keep interest rates higher for a prolonged period.

USD/CAD aims to lose ground on the fourth consecutive day to continue the losing streak, treading waters near 1.3650 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair faces downward pressure amid expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) might halt its monetary policy tightening, prompted by the subdued employment data from the United States (US).

On the Canadian side, the weaker labor data could weigh on the Loonie Dollar (CAD). The employment Change released by Statistics Canada on Friday revealed that Net Change in Employment reduced to the figure of 17.5K in October, falling short of 22.5K expectations from 63.8K in September. While Unemployment Rate increased to 5.7% from 5.5% prior.

In a statement last week, Bank of Canada (BoC) Governor Tim Macklem mentioned that indications are suggesting the neutral interest rate is more likely to be higher than lower.

US Dollar Index (DXY) hovers around 105.10, at the time of writing, showing a significant drop of over 1.0% in the previous session. The weakness in the US Dollar (USD) can be attributed to lackluster US Treasury yields, a reaction to disappointing US labor data.

US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data might have cheered up the investors, as they've been anticipating a slowdown in economic data to persuade the US Fed that additional rate hikes are unnecessary. The report revealed a figure of 150K, falling short of the expected 180K and marking a significant decline from the 297K recorded in September.

Additionally, the US Unemployment Rate rose to 3.9%, going against the market's anticipation of remaining stable at 3.8% in October. The ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) declined from the previous 53.6 to 51.8. On Thursday, the US Department of Labor published the count of initial claims for unemployment benefits for the week ending October 27, indicating a rise from 212K to 217K.

Investors will likely watch Canada's Ivey Purchasing Managers Index scheduled to be released on Monday. Furthermore, the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index will be eyed later in the week.

USD/CAD: additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.3656
Today Daily Change0.0000
Today Daily Change %0.00
Today daily open1.3656
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3721
Daily SMA501.363
Daily SMA1001.347
Daily SMA2001.3491
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.376
Previous Daily Low1.3654
Previous Weekly High1.3899
Previous Weekly Low1.3654
Previous Monthly High1.3892
Previous Monthly Low1.3562
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3694
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.372
Daily Pivot Point S11.3619
Daily Pivot Point S21.3583
Daily Pivot Point S31.3512
Daily Pivot Point R11.3726
Daily Pivot Point R21.3797
Daily Pivot Point R31.3833

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD bounces back to 1.3200 after strong UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD finds fresh buyers and rebounds to the 1.3200 mark in early Europe on Friday. Stronger-than-expected UK Retail Sales data provide a much-needed lift to the British Pound and the pair amid a chaotic UK political environment.

EUR/USD holds losses below 1.1450 on firmer US Dollar

EUR/USD stays in the red below 1.1450 in the European session on Friday. The pair loses ground as the US Dollar (USD) continues to benefit from the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) hawkish policy outlook and canceled negotiations between the US and Iran in Switzerland.

Gold slumps to one-week low; $4,100 back in sight amid bullish USD

Gold continues losing ground through the Asian session, and touches a fresh weekly trough around the $4,122-$4,121 region in the last hour. The US Dollar retains its bullish bias near the highest level since May 2025 in the face of the US Fed's hawkish tilt, which is seen undermining the non-yielding bullion for the third straight day.

Solana extends correction despite ETF inflows, RWA adoption

Solana (SOL) price edges below $70 extending its losses for the fourth straight day this week. The institutional demand for Solana is building, with steady inflows so far this week and Morgan Stanley’s amended S-1 filing for a Solana-focused Exchange-Traded Fund.

 Back above 100: Kevin Warsh’s first Fed meeting sparks US Dollar rally

The US Dollar Index did a phoenix comeback, rising from its ashes and reconquering 100. The reasons behind the US Dollar rally are pretty clear: the Memorandum of Understanding between the United States and Iran, and a hawkish Federal Reserve. Both events were long-awaited and much expected. However, the market reacted with surprise when there were no surprises at all.

The next big AI trade may not be about chips or software

Artificial intelligence has already created some of the biggest winners in modern market history. Chipmakers have surged, data centre construction is booming, and electricity demand forecasts are changing globally.