|

USD/CAD looks to continue the losing streak, hovers near 1.3650

  • USD/CAD loses ground on the likelihood of no interest rate hike by the US Fed in December.
  • US Dollar lost strength due to weaker US economic data released in the previous week.
  • BoC is expected to keep interest rates higher for a prolonged period.

USD/CAD aims to lose ground on the fourth consecutive day to continue the losing streak, treading waters near 1.3650 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair faces downward pressure amid expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) might halt its monetary policy tightening, prompted by the subdued employment data from the United States (US).

On the Canadian side, the weaker labor data could weigh on the Loonie Dollar (CAD). The employment Change released by Statistics Canada on Friday revealed that Net Change in Employment reduced to the figure of 17.5K in October, falling short of 22.5K expectations from 63.8K in September. While Unemployment Rate increased to 5.7% from 5.5% prior.

In a statement last week, Bank of Canada (BoC) Governor Tim Macklem mentioned that indications are suggesting the neutral interest rate is more likely to be higher than lower.

US Dollar Index (DXY) hovers around 105.10, at the time of writing, showing a significant drop of over 1.0% in the previous session. The weakness in the US Dollar (USD) can be attributed to lackluster US Treasury yields, a reaction to disappointing US labor data.

US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data might have cheered up the investors, as they've been anticipating a slowdown in economic data to persuade the US Fed that additional rate hikes are unnecessary. The report revealed a figure of 150K, falling short of the expected 180K and marking a significant decline from the 297K recorded in September.

Additionally, the US Unemployment Rate rose to 3.9%, going against the market's anticipation of remaining stable at 3.8% in October. The ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) declined from the previous 53.6 to 51.8. On Thursday, the US Department of Labor published the count of initial claims for unemployment benefits for the week ending October 27, indicating a rise from 212K to 217K.

Investors will likely watch Canada's Ivey Purchasing Managers Index scheduled to be released on Monday. Furthermore, the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index will be eyed later in the week.

USD/CAD: additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.3656
Today Daily Change0.0000
Today Daily Change %0.00
Today daily open1.3656
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3721
Daily SMA501.363
Daily SMA1001.347
Daily SMA2001.3491
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.376
Previous Daily Low1.3654
Previous Weekly High1.3899
Previous Weekly Low1.3654
Previous Monthly High1.3892
Previous Monthly Low1.3562
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3694
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.372
Daily Pivot Point S11.3619
Daily Pivot Point S21.3583
Daily Pivot Point S31.3512
Daily Pivot Point R11.3726
Daily Pivot Point R21.3797
Daily Pivot Point R31.3833

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD deflates to fresh lows, targets 1.1600

The selling pressure on EUR/USD now gathers extra pace, prompting the pair to hit fresh multi-week lows in the 1.1625-1.1620 band on Friday. The continuation of the downward bias comes in response to further gains in the US Dollar as market participants continue to assess the mixed release of US Nonfarm Payrolls in December.

GBP/USD breaks below 1.3400, challenges the 200-day SMA

GBP/USD remains under heavy fire and retreats for the fourth consecutive day on Friday. Indeed, Cable suffers the strong performance of the Greenback, intensified post-mixed NFP, and trades at shouting distance from its critical 200-day SMA near 1.3380.

Gold flirts with yearly tops around $4,500

Gold keeps its positive bias on Friday, adding to Thursday’s advance and challenging yearly highs in the $4,500 region per troy ounce. The risk-off sentiment favours the yellow metal despite the firmer tone in the Greenback and rising US Treasury yields.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP risk further decline as market fear persists amid slowing demand

Bitcoin holds $90,000 but stays below the 50-day EMA as institutional demand wanes. Ethereum steadies above $3,000 but remains structurally weak due to ETF outflows. XRP ETFs resume inflows, but the price struggles to gain ground above key support.

Week ahead – US CPI might challenge the geopolitics-boosted Dollar

Geopolitics may try to steal the limelight from US data. A possible US Supreme Court ruling on tariffs could dictate market movements. A crammed data calendar next week, US CPI comes on Tuesday; Fedspeak to intensify.

XRP trades under pressure amid weak retail demand

XRP presses down on the 50-day EMA support as risk-averse sentiment spreads despite a positive start to 2026. XRP faces declining retail demand, as reflected in futures Open Interest, which has fallen to $4.15 billion.