USD/CAD inches higher to near 1.3540, focus on Canadian CPI, Fed policy

USD/CAD kicks off the week with its third consecutive day of gains on Monday, inching higher to near 1.3540 during the Asian trading session. The US Dollar (USD) could be bolstered by expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will uphold its narrative of maintaining higher interest rates to combat inflation, which could further mitigate significant downside for the USD/CAD pair. The Fed is also set to update its Dot Plot projection, outlining interest rate expectations for the next one to five years.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) struggles to sustain its position in positive territory, hovering around 103.50 at the time of writing. However, downward pressure on the US Dollar is evident due to a correction in US Treasury yields. The 2-year and 10-year US Treasury yields are currently at 4.72% and 4.30%, respectively.

On the flip side, the Canadian Dollar (CAD) may find some support from the surge in Crude oil prices. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price continues its upward climb, reaching near $80.90 per barrel, by the press time. The positive momentum in Crude oil prices is driven by concerns over supply disruptions due to heightened geopolitical risks.

Traders are likely anticipating the release of the Canadian Consumer Price Index (CPI) data scheduled for Tuesday. Expectations suggest that the year-over-year consumer price will show an increase in February. A higher reading in the CPI could contribute a bullish sentiment for the Loonie Dollar (CAD). Additionally, the US Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) is set to be released on Thursday.