|

USD/CAD hits new weekly highs above 1.2750 on broad US dollar strength

  • USD/CAD prints a new weekly high at 1.2763.
  • The market sentiment remains downbeat, with the S&P 500 trading below the 50-DMA.
  • WTI is falling in the session by 1.27%, dragging the loonie with it.
  • Federal Election in Canada to take place on September 20.

USD/CAD is gaining ground in the session, up 0.45%, trading at 1.2739 at the time of writing. The market sentiment remains downbeat, as US stock indexes post losses caused by expiring options on Friday. The S&P 500 has broken below the 50-day moving average, risking the “buying the dip” narrative.

Additionally, oil prices that strongly correlate with the Canadian dollar are falling for the second straight day, with the WTI trading at $72.12, down 0.55%.

US Consumer Sentiment worse than expected

In the US economic docket, the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment edged up to 71.0, still worse than the 72.2 expected by economists. The USD/CAD reaction to that headline was muted, while investors’ focus turned to next week’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting on September 21-22.

Meanwhile, in Canada, the Federal Election to take place on September 20 could spur some choppiness in the USD/CAD while the market awaits its results.

USD/CAD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

In the daily chart, the USD/CAD is trading at 1.2728. Even though the pair reached a weekly high, it unsuccessfully tested the September 8 high at 1.2762, retracing almost 40 pips afterwards. The first resistance on the upside would be the mentioned high at 1.2762. In case of a sustained break of that level, the following supply area, would be 1.2800.

On the flip side, failure at 1.2762 could pave the way for further losses. The first support would be 1.2700. In case of a break of that level, the USD/CAD could tumble to 1.2600.

The Relative Strength Index is at 58.34, aiming higher, supporting the uptrend, but macroeconomic developments should keep bulls cautious.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.2739
Today Daily Change0.0058
Today Daily Change %0.46
Today daily open1.2681
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2639
Daily SMA501.2592
Daily SMA1001.24
Daily SMA2001.2524
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.27
Previous Daily Low1.2617
Previous Weekly High1.2762
Previous Weekly Low1.2518
Previous Monthly High1.2949
Previous Monthly Low1.2453
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2668
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2648
Daily Pivot Point S11.2632
Daily Pivot Point S21.2583
Daily Pivot Point S31.2549
Daily Pivot Point R11.2715
Daily Pivot Point R21.2749
Daily Pivot Point R31.2798

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases to near 1.1650, eyes US PCE for fresh impetus

EUR/USD turns south to test 1.1650 in European trading on Friday, facing rejection once again near seven-week highs. The pair, however, continues to draw support from persistent US Dollar selling bias, despite a cautious market mood. Traders now await the US September PCE inflation and UoM Consumer Sentiment data. 

GBP/USD holds gains near 1.3350 ahead of US data

GBP/USD sticks to a positive bias near 1.3350 in the European session on Friday. Traders prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the key US inflation and sentiment data due later in the day. In the meantime, broad-based US Dollar weakness helps the pair stay afloat. 

Gold remains below $4,250 barrier as traders await US PCE data for directional impetus

Gold gains some positive traction on Friday, though it remains confined in the weekly range. Dovish Fed expectations continue to undermine the USD and lend support to the commodity. Bulls, however, might opt to wait for the US PCE Price Index before placing aggressive bets.

UoM Consumer Sentiment Index expected to post a mild recovery in December

December’s preliminary Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is forecast to have picked up to 52 from a three-year low of 51.0 in November. A stalled labour market and higher price pressures are likely to weigh on consumers’ confidence.

Canada Unemployment Rate expected to edge higher in November ahead of BoC rate decision

Statistics Canada will release its Labour Force Survey on Friday, and markets are bracing for a weak print. The Unemployment Rate is expected to tick higher to 7% in November, while the Employment Change is forecast to come in flat after a nice gain in October.

Pi Network Price Forecast: Bearish streak nears critical support trendline

Pi Network (PI) edges lower on Friday for the third consecutive day, approaching a local support trendline. The on-chain data suggests an increase in supply pressure as Centralized Exchanges (CEXs) experience a surge in inflows.