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USD/CAD fades post-NFP spike to weekly tops, retreats below 1.2700 mark

  • A broad-based USD strength assisted USD/CAD to gain some traction on Friday.
  • Strong NFP report further pushed the US bond yields and the greenback higher.
  • Bullish oil prices underpinned the loonie and capped the upside for the major.

The USD/CAD pair quickly retreated around 50 pips from weekly tops touched in reaction to stellar NFP print and was last seen trading with modest intraday gains, just below the 1.2700 mark.

The pair built on the previous day's solid rebound from weekly lows, around the 1.2575 region and gained some follow-through traction on the last trading day of the week. The momentum was exclusively sponsored by the prevalent strong bullish sentiment surrounding the US dollar.

The already stronger greenback got an additional boost after the latest US monthly jobs report showed that the economy added 379K jobs in February. The headline NFP surpassed even the most optimistic estimates and was accompanied by an upward revision of the previous month's reading.

Adding to this, the unemployment rate ticked lower to 6.2% as against market expectations for a steady print of 6.3%. The data further reinforced prospects for a strong US economic recovery and pushed the yield on the benchmark 10-year bond back above 1.60%, or over one-year tops.

This was seen as another factor that benefitted the greenback. However, the ongoing bullish run in oil prices underpinned the commodity-linked loonie and kept a lid on any further gains for the USD/CAD pair. This, in turn, warrants some caution before placing fresh bullish bets.

Even from a technical perspective, the USD/CAD pair once again failed ahead of the 1.2740-45 supply zone. This further makes it prudent to wait for some follow-through buying beyond the mentioned barrier before positioning for any further near-term appreciating move.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.2692
Today Daily Change0.0025
Today Daily Change %0.20
Today daily open1.2667
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2664
Daily SMA501.2713
Daily SMA1001.2861
Daily SMA2001.3113
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2694
Previous Daily Low1.2575
Previous Weekly High1.273
Previous Weekly Low1.2468
Previous Monthly High1.287
Previous Monthly Low1.2468
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2649
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2621
Daily Pivot Point S11.2597
Daily Pivot Point S21.2527
Daily Pivot Point S31.2478
Daily Pivot Point R11.2716
Daily Pivot Point R21.2764
Daily Pivot Point R31.2835

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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