- USD/CAD loses ground as WTI oil price improves to near $78.10 during the Asian hours.
- Canadian Dollar might have received support on the upbeat Canadian GDP Annualized.
- CME FedWatch Tool suggests the probability of rate cuts in March is at 3.0%.
USD/CAD breaks the winning streak that began on February 23, which could be attributed to the improved Crude oil prices as Canada is the largest oil exporter to the United States (US). The pair edges lower to near 1.3560 during the Asian session on Friday.
Additionally, upbeat Canada’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Annualized might have provided some support to underpinning the Canadian Dollar (CAD). The data reported a growth of 1.0% in the fourth quarter of 2023. The market expectation was an increase of 0.8% against the previous decline of 0.5%. Moreover, GDP (QoQ) rose by 0.2% against the previous decline of 0.1%.
The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price is showing improvement, nearing $78.10, as speculation arises regarding the potential extension of supply cuts by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) and ongoing tensions in the Middle East.
Recent data, including Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures and the US Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index from the United States (US), has led to a postponement in market expectations for the Federal Reserve's (Fed) first-rate cut. This has provided support for the US Dollar (USD). Investors are now awaiting the final US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for February, scheduled for release on Friday.
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of rate cuts in March is at 3.0%, with expectations decreasing to 23.1% in May and increasing to 52.2% in June. Atlanta Fed President Raphael W. Bostic commented that recent inflation data indicates a challenging path toward achieving the central bank's 2% inflation target. Moreover, Chicago Fed President Austan Dean Goolsbee anticipates the first-rate cuts later this year but refrained from specifying the exact timeline.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD holds steady below 0.6700 after RBA Minutes
AUD/USD is trading flat below 0.7000, a little impressed by the hawkish Minutes of the RBA's May policy meeting. Souring risk sentiment also keep the recovery attempts elusive in the Aussie pair ahead of more Fedspeak.
EUR/USD eased from 1.0880 on Monday as looming rate differential weighs
EUR/USD eased back from 1.0880 on Monday as talking points from Fed officials weighed on otherwise quiet market flows. Broader markets are keenly anxious for signs of a rate cut from the Fed, but central planners continue to force down expectations with a tricky inflation outlook hobbling the Fed’s options on rate moves.
Gold price extends its upside as investors bet on rate cuts
Gold price extends the rally on Tuesday after retracing from a record high earlier. The renewed gold demand is bolstered by higher bets on interest rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve, ongoing geopolitical tensions, along with the strong demand stemming from central banks and Asian buyers.
Digital asset weekly inflows jump over 600% following response to CPI report
Coinshares weekly report of digital asset flows shows that crypto assets witnessed more than a 600% increase in net inflows last week after US Consumer Price Index saw a softer-than-expected inflation increase.
Will the commodity boom last?
The gold and copper price both hit fresh record highs on Monday. The market is sensitive to these two metals because gold is considered an inflation hedge and a safe haven, and because copper is a metal that is linked to global growth.