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USD/CAD clings to gains near session tops, around 1.2470-75 region

  • USD/CAD regained positive traction on Tuesday amid a modest USD strength.
  • Hawkish Fed expectations, an uptick in the US bond yields underpinned the USD.
  • Positive oil prices might benefit the loonie and cap gains ahead of the US CPI.

The USD/CAD pair traded with a mild positive bias through the first half of the European session and was last seen hovering near daily tops, around the 1.2470-75 region.

Following the previous day's sharp pullback from levels beyond the key 1.2500 psychological mark, the USD/CAD pair managed to regain positive traction on Tuesday amid a modest US dollar strength. Expectations that the Fed is moving towards tightening its monetary policy stance sooner continued acting as a tailwind for the greenback and extended some support to the major.

It is worth recalling that the June FOMC meeting minutes released last Wednesday revealed that Fed officials agreed on the need to be ready to act if inflation or other risks materialize. Hence, the focus will remain glued to the release of the latest US consumer inflation figures, which may offer clues about the likely timing of tapering and interest rate hikes.

Apart from this, an uptick in the US Treasury bond yields was seen as another factor that underpinned the greenback. That said, a positive tone around crude oil prices might underpin the commodity-linked loonie and keep a lid on any strong gains for the USD/CAD pair. This warrants some caution for bullish traders and before positioning for any further appreciating move.

Apart from Tuesday's US CPI report, Fed Chair Jerome Powell's semi-annual congressional testimony on Wednesday and Thursday influence market expectations about the Fed's monetary policy outlook. This, along with the latest monetary policy update by the Bank of Canada on Wednesday, will play a key role in determining the next leg of a directional move for the USD/CAD pair.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.2472
Today Daily Change0.0019
Today Daily Change %0.15
Today daily open1.2453
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2374
Daily SMA501.2216
Daily SMA1001.2375
Daily SMA2001.264
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2514
Previous Daily Low1.2444
Previous Weekly High1.259
Previous Weekly Low1.2303
Previous Monthly High1.2487
Previous Monthly Low1.2007
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2487
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2471
Daily Pivot Point S11.2427
Daily Pivot Point S21.24
Daily Pivot Point S31.2356
Daily Pivot Point R11.2497
Daily Pivot Point R21.2541
Daily Pivot Point R31.2568

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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