|

USD/CAD climbs to mid-1.3300s amid sliding Oil prices, modest USD uptick ahead of NFP

  • USD/CAD gains traction for the second straight day and is supported by a combination of factors.
  • Sliding Crude Oil prices undermines the Loonie and acts as a tailwind amid a modest USD strength.
  • Traders now look forward to the closely-watched US monthly jobs data (NFP) for a fresh impetus.

The USD/CAD pair gains positive traction for the second successive day on Friday and looks to build on the overnight recovery move from the 1.3280 region, or its lowest level since November 16. Spot prices stick to modest intraday gains, around the 1.3345-1.3350 area through the early European session and draw support from a combination of factors.

Crude Oil prices prolong the recent rejection slide from the 100-day SMA hurdle and drop to a nearly four-week low on the last day of the week. The uncertainty over a strong economic recovery in China weighs on the outlook for fuel demand and exerts pressure on the black liquid. This, in turn, is seen undermining the commodity-linked Loonie, which, along with a modest US Dollar strength, lends support to the USD/CAD pair.

The US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims released on Thursday pointed to the underlying strength in the labor market and raises the possibility of strong Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data. Furthermore, the upbeat US macro data forces investors to re-evaluate their expectations for future rate hikes by the Fed. Apart from this, the prevalent cautious mood lends support to the safe-haven buck and remains supportive of the USD/CAD pair's uptick.

The global flight to safety, meanwhile, exerts some downward pressure on the US Treasury bond yields, which, in turn, acts as a headwind for the USD. Traders also refrain from placing aggressive bets and prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the release of the closely-watched US monthly jobs report which may be a deciding factor for the trend, which is due later during the early North American session. This, along with Oil price dynamics should provide a fresh impetus to the USD/CAD pair.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3339
Today Daily Change0.0026
Today Daily Change %0.20
Today daily open1.3313
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3383
Daily SMA501.3498
Daily SMA1001.3532
Daily SMA2001.3219
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3348
Previous Daily Low1.3262
Previous Weekly High1.3428
Previous Weekly Low1.33
Previous Monthly High1.3685
Previous Monthly Low1.33
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3315
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3295
Daily Pivot Point S11.3268
Daily Pivot Point S21.3222
Daily Pivot Point S31.3183
Daily Pivot Point R11.3353
Daily Pivot Point R21.3393
Daily Pivot Point R31.3438

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD eyes 0.7150 barrier nine-day EMA

AUD/USD inches higher after registering modest losses in the previous day, trading around 0.7130 during the Asian hours. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates that the pair is moving sideways within the rectangle pattern, suggesting a consolidation as neither the bulls nor the bears have enough momentum to take control of the market.

USD/JPY trades below 160.00 intervention threshold; bullish bias intact

The USD/JPY pair attracts some sellers during the Asian session amid fears that authorities will step in again to prop up the Japanese Yen. Furthermore, the Israel-Lebanon truce prompts some profit-taking around the US Dollar and exerts downward pressure on the currency pair.

Gold rebounds from one-week low as Israel-Lebanon truce pressures safe-haven USD

Gold gains some positive traction on Thursday and climbs to the $4,475 area during the Asian session, reversing a major part of the previous day's slide to a one-week low. The Israel-Lebanon truce prompts some profit-taking around the US Dollar and supports the commodity. 


Hyperliquid: ETF demand, capital rotation fuel HYPE rally as Bitcoin melts

Hyperliquid price sustains an upward trend near its all-time high of $75.76 on Thursday after posting 80% gains in May, while Bitcoin (BTC) retraces below $65,000, triggering a market-wide panic.

Kevin Warsh takes the Fed helm: What it means for the US Dollar
The Federal Reserve moves away from the highly predictable "forward guidance" model of the Jerome Powell era to a new “Kevin Warsh environment”, characterized by less communication, more policy surprises, and an increased focus on the Fed's complex balance sheet.
Recession on paper: What really moves the Canadian Loonie now?

Statistics Canada handed the headline writers a gift and the analysts a headache. Real GDP shrank 0.1% on an annualized basis in the first quarter, and with the fourth quarter of 2025 revised down to a 1.0% contraction, that is two negative quarters in a row, the textbook definition of a technical recession and Canada's first since the pandemic.