|

USD/CAD climbs to mid-1.3300s amid sliding Oil prices, modest USD uptick ahead of NFP

  • USD/CAD gains traction for the second straight day and is supported by a combination of factors.
  • Sliding Crude Oil prices undermines the Loonie and acts as a tailwind amid a modest USD strength.
  • Traders now look forward to the closely-watched US monthly jobs data (NFP) for a fresh impetus.

The USD/CAD pair gains positive traction for the second successive day on Friday and looks to build on the overnight recovery move from the 1.3280 region, or its lowest level since November 16. Spot prices stick to modest intraday gains, around the 1.3345-1.3350 area through the early European session and draw support from a combination of factors.

Crude Oil prices prolong the recent rejection slide from the 100-day SMA hurdle and drop to a nearly four-week low on the last day of the week. The uncertainty over a strong economic recovery in China weighs on the outlook for fuel demand and exerts pressure on the black liquid. This, in turn, is seen undermining the commodity-linked Loonie, which, along with a modest US Dollar strength, lends support to the USD/CAD pair.

The US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims released on Thursday pointed to the underlying strength in the labor market and raises the possibility of strong Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data. Furthermore, the upbeat US macro data forces investors to re-evaluate their expectations for future rate hikes by the Fed. Apart from this, the prevalent cautious mood lends support to the safe-haven buck and remains supportive of the USD/CAD pair's uptick.

The global flight to safety, meanwhile, exerts some downward pressure on the US Treasury bond yields, which, in turn, acts as a headwind for the USD. Traders also refrain from placing aggressive bets and prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the release of the closely-watched US monthly jobs report which may be a deciding factor for the trend, which is due later during the early North American session. This, along with Oil price dynamics should provide a fresh impetus to the USD/CAD pair.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3339
Today Daily Change0.0026
Today Daily Change %0.20
Today daily open1.3313
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3383
Daily SMA501.3498
Daily SMA1001.3532
Daily SMA2001.3219
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3348
Previous Daily Low1.3262
Previous Weekly High1.3428
Previous Weekly Low1.33
Previous Monthly High1.3685
Previous Monthly Low1.33
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3315
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3295
Daily Pivot Point S11.3268
Daily Pivot Point S21.3222
Daily Pivot Point S31.3183
Daily Pivot Point R11.3353
Daily Pivot Point R21.3393
Daily Pivot Point R31.3438

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD edges above 1.1750 due to ECB-Fed policy divergence

EUR/USD has recovered its recent losses registered in the previous session, trading around 1.1760 during the Asian hours on Friday. Traders will likely observe Germany’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index data later in the day.

GBP/USD gathers strength above 1.3450 on Fed rate cut bets, BoE's gradual policy path

The GBP/USD pair gathers strength to around 1.3480 during the early Asian session on Friday. Expectations of the US Federal Reserve rate cuts this year weigh on the US Dollar against the Pound Sterling. Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson is set to speak later on the weekend. 

Gold climbs to near $4,350 on Fed rate cut bets, geopolitical risks

Gold price rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. Gold finished 2025 with a significant rally, achieving an annual gain of around 65%, its biggest annual gain since 1979. The rally of the precious metal is bolstered by the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026 and safe-haven flows.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple enter the New Year with breakout hopes

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple entered the new year trading at key technical levels on Friday, as traders seek fresh directional cues in January. With BTC locked in a tight range, ETH is approaching its 50-day Exponential Moving Average, while XRP is nearing resistance. A clear breakout across these top three cryptocurrencies could help define market momentum in the opening weeks of the year.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).