|

USD/CAD climbs to fresh weekly tops above 1.33 as crude oil sell-off intensifies

  • WTI breaks below $55 after EIA shows large increase in US crude oil stocks.
  • US Dollar Index climbs higher toward the 98 mark.
  • 10-year US T-bond yield drops to lowest level since September 2016.

The USD/CAD pair posted decisive gains in the second half of the day as falling crude oil prices made it difficult for the Loonie to stay resilient against the dollar. As of writing, the pair was trading at its highest level in a week at 1.3315, rising 0.7% on a daily basis.

WTI loses traction on global growth worries

Dismal retail sales and industrial production data from China revived concerns over a global economic slowdown earlier today. Additionally, Germany's Destatis reported a 0.1% contraction in Germany's economic activity in the second quarter to further weigh on the market sentiment. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury bond and the 2-year US Treasury bond yield curve inverted for the first time since the start of the last financial crisis in 2007.

All these developments also forced investors to price a weak energy demand outlook and caused crude oil prices to turn south. Furthermore, the Energy Information Administration's (EIA) weekly crude oil stock report showed a larger-than-expected increase in crude oil stocks to drag prices even lower. The barrel of West Texas Intermediate was last seen trading at $54.40, losing 4% on the day.

Meanwhile, despite falling US Treasury bond yields, the US Dollar Index is posting modest gains a little below the 98 mark on Wednesday, supporting the pair's daily rally. 

On Thursday, the ADP employment report from Canada and retail sales and industrial production data from the US will be looked upon for fresh catalysts.

Technical levels to watch for

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3318
Today Daily Change0.0095
Today Daily Change %0.72
Today daily open1.3223
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3175
Daily SMA501.3186
Daily SMA1001.3302
Daily SMA2001.3311
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3294
Previous Daily Low1.3184
Previous Weekly High1.3345
Previous Weekly Low1.3178
Previous Monthly High1.3215
Previous Monthly Low1.3016
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3227
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3252
Daily Pivot Point S11.3174
Daily Pivot Point S21.3124
Daily Pivot Point S31.3064
Daily Pivot Point R11.3284
Daily Pivot Point R21.3344
Daily Pivot Point R31.3394

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds from session lows, stays below 1.1650

EUR/USD is recovers modestly from session lows but remains in the red below 1.1650 in European trading on Thursday. The pair faces headwinds from a renewed uptick in the US Dollar amid a negative shift in risk sentiment. Surging energy prices due to the Middle East war keep the bearish pressure intact on the Euro. The US Jobless Claims data are next of note. 

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3350 amid UK stagflation risks

GBP/USD sticks to losses near 1.3350 in the European session on Thursday. The Pound Sterling loses ground amid fears that the United Kingdom economy could face stagflation risks due to higher energy prices, while the US Dollar attracts fresh havem demand ahead of the US Jobless Claims data. 

Gold climbs near $5,200 as Iran war fuels safe-haven demand

Gold price extends its gains for the second successive session on Thursday as traders seek safety amid the ongoing war in the Middle East. US and Israeli strikes across Iranian territory and widespread Iranian missile and drone retaliation across the Middle East, including attacks on regional targets and military sites, prolong the crisis and its impact.

Three reasons to be bearish on Bitcoin

Bitcoin is holding up well taking into account the uncertainty stemming from the Middle East. Despite this week’s rally, the long-term outlook remains bearish. Here are three reasons why I think the storm for the largest cryptocurrency isn't over yet.

Markets attempt to rally on positive news from Iran

There’s been an abrupt change in sentiment this morning, European stock markets are higher and oil and gas prices are moderating, after comments from Iran’s deputy minister about pre-conflict talks between Iran and the US.

Cardano Price Analysis: Approaches key trendline amid bearish sentiment

Cardano (ADA) price is approaching its descending trendline around $0.28 at the time of writing, set to shape the next directional move. The derivatives metrics paint a bearish picture, with ADA’s Open Interest continuing to fall and short bets rising among traders.