|

USD/CAD climbs to 1.2465 amid broad US dollar weakness

  • USD/CAD trims some Monday losses, advances 0.24% during the day.
  • US Producer Price Index came in line with expectations, and the market reaction was muted.
  • Market participants await Wednesday's CPI numbers, which expect inflation to rise by 5.8% YoY.

The USD/CAD edges higher during the New York session, up 0.12%, trading at 1.2465 at the time of writing. The market sentiment is a mixed bag, as major US equity indices futures fluctuate between gainers and losers. Further, the FX market is in risk-aversion, as traders fly towards the safe-haven currencies, like the Japanese yen and some to the greenback, as confusion meanders in market participants.

Falling US T-bond yields undermine the greenback

Furthermore, the yield curve in the US flattens as the 20s are two basis points above the 30s, while the 10-year losses five basis points sit at 1.444%. Meanwhile,  the US Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback's performance against a basket of its peers, falls 0.15%, currently at 93.90.

However, the USD/CAD is seesawing around the 1.2430-60 area with no apparent bias, awaiting US inflation figures.

On Tuesday, the US economic docket featured the Producer Price Index (PPI) for October, which in its headline, rose 0.6%, a tick higher than the 0.5% expected by analysts. Nevertheless, on a year-over-year figure increased 8.6%, unchanged according to the forecast. Moreover, the Core PPI for the same period on a monthly basis rose by 0.4%, higher than expected, whereas the annual basis number came in line with estimations at 6.8%.

According to the report released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), higher energy costs drove the gain. Furthermore, it mentioned how recent months, transportation bottlenecks, material shortages, and increasing labor costs sent prices surging across the economy.

The USD/CAD trader's reaction to the news was muted as investors waited for a speech of Bank of Canada Governor Macklem at 22:45 GMT, alongside Wednesday's US inflation figures. 

On Wednesday, the US economic docket will unveil the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for October, and the Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending on November 6.

Expectations for CPI on a yearly basis are at 5.8%, while excluding food and energy, analysts expect an increase of 4.3%. Concerning US Initial Jobless Claims are expected to rise by 265K, a tad lower than the previous week at 269K.

USD/CAD TECHNICAL SUPPORT/RESISTANCE LEVELS

Overview
Today last price1.2465
Today Daily Change0.0012
Today Daily Change %0.17
Today daily open1.2443
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2391
Daily SMA501.2544
Daily SMA1001.2535
Daily SMA2001.2479
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2466
Previous Daily Low1.2436
Previous Weekly High1.248
Previous Weekly Low1.2352
Previous Monthly High1.2739
Previous Monthly Low1.2288
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2447
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2454
Daily Pivot Point S11.2431
Daily Pivot Point S21.2419
Daily Pivot Point S31.2402
Daily Pivot Point R11.2461
Daily Pivot Point R21.2478
Daily Pivot Point R31.249

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD keeps the rangebound trade near 1.1850

EUR/USD is still under pressure, drifting back towards the 1.1850 area as Monday’s session draws to a close. The modest decline in spot comes as the US Dollar picks up a bit of support, while thin liquidity and muted volatility, thanks to the US market holiday, are exaggerating price swings and keeping trading conditions choppy.
 

GBP/USD flirts with daily lows near 1.3630

GBP/USD has quickly given back Friday’s solid gains, turning lower at the start of the week and drifting back towards the 1.3630 area. The focus now shifts squarely to Tuesday’s UK labour market report, which is likely to keep the quid firmly in the spotlight and could set the tone for Cable’s next move.

Gold sticks to a negative bias below $5,000; lacks bearish conviction

Gold remains depressed for the second consecutive day and trades below the $5,000 psychological mark during the Asian session on Tuesday, as a positive risk tone is seen undermining safe-haven assets. Meanwhile, bets for more interest rate cuts by the Fed keep a lid on the recent US Dollar bounce and act as a tailwind for the non-yielding bullion, warranting caution for bearish traders ahead of FOMC minutes on Wednesday.

AI Crypto Update: Bittensor eyes breakout as AI tokens falter 

The artificial intelligence (AI) cryptocurrency segment is witnessing heightened volatility, with top tokens such as Near Protocol (NEAR) struggling to gain traction amid the persistent decline in January and February.

US CPI is cooling but what about inflation?

The January CPI data give the impression that the Federal Reserve is finally winning the war against inflation. Not only was the data cooler than expected, but it’s also beginning to edge close to the mystical 2 percent target. CBS News called it “the best inflation news we've had in months.”

XRP steadies in narrow range as fund inflows, futures interest rise

Ripple is trading in a narrow range between $1.45 (immediate support) and $1.50 (resistance) at the time of writing on Monday. The remittance token extended its recovery last week, peaking at $1.67 on Sunday from the weekly open at $1.43.