|

USD/CAD: Bears look to test 1.3350 amid weaker dollar, bearish technicals

  • USD/CAD on the back foot amid fresh USD supply.
  • CAD ignores drop in WTI, as risk-on mood prevails.
  • Bear flag breakdown spotted on hourly chart.

USD/CAD is on a gradual decline below 1.3400 following a brief attempt to regain the latter in early Asia.

The bears have regained control and now look to test the 1.3350 levels, aided by the resurgence of the US dollar supply across the board.

The dollar recovery faltered amid concerns over the health of the US labor market after the manufacturing sector employment sub-index dwindled, the latest ISM data showed. Further, the slowing progress on the US fiscal aid also remains a weight on the greenback.   

On the CAD-side of the story, the Canadian dollar tracks its commodity peers higher, as they cheer the upbeat market mood. The loonie ignores the drop in WTI prices below the $41 level. Attention now turns towards the US Factory Orders and Canadian Markit Manufacturing PMI data for fresh trading impetus.

From a near-term technical perspective, the spot has carved out a bear flag breakdown on the hourly sticks alongside a bearish Relative Strength Index (RSI). The technical set up, therefore, suggests additional scope to the downside.

The bears could likely test the 1.3350 psychological level should the selling pressure intensify. Only a  break above the downward-sloping 21-hourly Simple Moving Average (HMA) at 1.3401 could prompt any recovery attempts in the spot.

USD/CAD hourly chart

fxsoriginal
USD/CAD additional levels

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3378
Today Daily Change-0.0013
Today Daily Change %-0.10
Today daily open1.3391
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3486
Daily SMA501.3543
Daily SMA1001.3816
Daily SMA2001.3526
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3451
Previous Daily Low1.338
Previous Weekly High1.346
Previous Weekly Low1.3331
Previous Monthly High1.3646
Previous Monthly Low1.3331
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3408
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3424
Daily Pivot Point S11.3364
Daily Pivot Point S21.3337
Daily Pivot Point S31.3293
Daily Pivot Point R11.3435
Daily Pivot Point R21.3478
Daily Pivot Point R31.3505

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD meets initial support around 1.1800

EUR/USD remains on the back foot, although it has managed to reverse the initial strong pullback toward the 1.1800 region and regain some balance, hovering around the 1.1850 zone as the NA session draws to a close on Tuesday. Moving forward, market participants will now shift their attention to the release of the FOMC Minutes and US hard data on Wednesday.
 

GBP/USD bounces off lows, retargets 1.3550

After bottoming out just below the 1.3500 yardstick, GBP/USD now gathers some fresh bids and advances to the 1.3530-1.3540 band in the latter part of Tuesday’s session. Cable’s recovery comes as the Greenback surrenders part of its advance, although it keeps the bullish bias well in place for the day.

Gold remains offered below $5,000

Gold stays on the defensive on Tuesday, receding to the sub-$5,000 region per troy ounce on the back of the persistent move higher in the Greenback. The precious metal’s decline is also underpinned by the modest uptick in US Treasury yields across the spectrum.

RBNZ set to pause interest-rate easing cycle as new Governor Breman faces firm inflation

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand remains on track to maintain the Official Cash Rate at 2.25% after concluding its first monetary policy meeting of this year on Wednesday.

UK jobs market weakens, bolstering rate cut hopes

In the UK, the latest jobs report made for difficult reading. Nonetheless, this represents yet another reminder for the Bank of England that they need to act swiftly given the collapse in inflation expected over the coming months. 

Ripple slides to $1.45 as downside risks surge

Ripple edges lower at the time of writing on Tuesday, from the daily open of $1.48, as headwinds persist across the crypto market. A short-term support is emerging at $1.45, but a buildup of bearish positions could further weaken the derivatives market and prolong the correction.