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USD/CAD advances toward 1.3600 on USD strength, oil selloff

  • USD/CAD gains traction during American session on Thursday.
  • US Dollar Index advances above 96.70 on risk aversion.
  • WTI slumps below $40, weighs on commodity-sensitive loonie.

The USD/CAD pair moved sideways near 1.3500 for the majority of the day before gaining traction during the early trading hours of the American session. Boosted by the broad-based USD strength, the pair shot to a fresh daily high of 1.3586 and has gone into a consolidation phase. As of writing, the pair was up 0.47% on the day at 1.3575.

USD capitalizes on risk aversion

In the absence of significant macroeconomic data releases, markets reacted to political developments in the US. The Supreme Court ruled on Thursday that Manhattan District Attorney Cy Vance Jr. is allowed to obtain US President Donald Trump's financial records in his investigation.

With the initial reaction, Wall Street's main indexes turned south and the US Dollar Index (DXY) surged higher, reflecting a risk-off market environment. As of writing, the DXY was up 0.27% on the day at 96.75.

On the other hand, crude oil prices came under strong selling pressure in the second half of the day amid a flight to safety. The barrel of West Texas Intermediate erased all of its weekly gains in a matter of hours and was last seen losing 2.83% at $39.70.

On Friday, Statistics Canada will release the jobs report for June. Previewing the data, "our bias is that the CAD will be satisfied with a solid jobs number even if it comes in below expectations," said TD Securities analysts. "We think the CAD could reflect concern if we see a substantial disappointment, perhaps below 500k."

Technical levels to watch for

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3575
Today Daily Change0.0063
Today Daily Change %0.47
Today daily open1.3512
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3588
Daily SMA501.3737
Daily SMA1001.382
Daily SMA2001.35
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3624
Previous Daily Low1.3493
Previous Weekly High1.3705
Previous Weekly Low1.3545
Previous Monthly High1.3802
Previous Monthly Low1.3316
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3543
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3574
Daily Pivot Point S11.3462
Daily Pivot Point S21.3412
Daily Pivot Point S31.3331
Daily Pivot Point R11.3593
Daily Pivot Point R21.3674
Daily Pivot Point R31.3724

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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