|

US Treasury yields rebound from six-week low but no mercy for S&P 500 Futures

  • US 10-year Treasury yields consolidate weekly losses around lowest levels since late September.
  • S&P 500 Futures remain pressured for the second consecutive day.
  • China, inflation and US stimulus headlines weigh on sentiment ahead of US inflation.

Market’s mood remains downbeat during early Wednesday, even as the US Treasuries step back amid stimulus hopes. The reason could be linked to the ongoing inflation fears ahead of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) data.

That said, the US 10-year Treasury yields rose two basis points (bps) to 1.47%, bouncing off the lowest levels since September 20. However, the S&P 500 Futures remain on the back foot around 4,670, down 0.20% intraday at the latest.

Reflation fears are in full swing even as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell tried to cool it down the previous day. Recently, St. Louis Federal Reserve (Fed) President James Bullard said during the CNBC interview that he is expecting the US central bank to hike its benchmark rate twice in 2022, after it’s finished with winding down its bond-buying program. Following the last week’s firmer US jobs report for October, chatters over faster Fed rate hikes are on the table even as Fed’s Powell pushed for details in his latest speech.

Elsewhere, deadlock over the US stimulus challenges the risk appetite. US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen crossed wires via NPR Marketplace interview and warned of a recession if the debt limit is not raised. The policymaker also said, “The Federal Reserve will not allow 1970s-style inflation to return.” On the same line were comments from White House Economic Advisor Brian Deese who expects a vote in the House next week on the larger social infrastructure package, per tweets from Fox Business reporter Edward Lawrence. “He says some House members will receive more information about how the bill will not add to the debt by the end of this week,” adds Fox’s Lawrence.

On a different page, a 50% slump in the share price of China’s real estate player Fantasia Group after a month-long trading halt also back the recent concerns over property players’ troubles in Beijing.

It’s worth noting that the US-China virtual meet, scheduled for next week joins US President Joe Biden’s optimism for stimulus to test the market bears of late.

Amid these plays, the US Dollar Index (DXY) snaps a three-day downtrend to regain the 94.00 threshold, up 0.05% intraday by press time.

That being said, market sentiment is likely to remain sluggish as investors await the key inflation data from the US as market participants jostle over the Fed’s next move and reshuffle talks.

Read: US October CPI preview: Inflation data unlikely to discourage gold bulls

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady below 1.1800

EUR/USD moves sideways in a narrow channel below 1.1800 as the market volatility remains low ahead of the New Year holiday. On Tuesday, investors will pay close attention to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 as trading conditions remain thin

GBP/USD corrects lower after posting strong gains in the previous week and trades below 1.3500 on Monday. With the action in financial markets turning subdued following the Christmas holiday, however, the pair's losses remain limited.

Gold extends correction from record-high

Gold retreats toward $4,450 from the record-peak it set at $4,550 and loses more than 1% on the day. Growing optimism about a Ukraine-Russia peace agreement and profit-taking ahead of the New Year holiday seem to be causing XAU/USD to push lower.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP bulls regain strength

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record roughly 3% gains on Monday, regaining strength mid-holiday season. Despite thin liquidity in the holiday season, BTC and major altcoins are regaining strength as US President Donald Trump pushes peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple gradually shifts bullish as selling pressure wanes.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.