|

US: NY Empire State Manufacturing Index improves to 43 in July vs. 18 expected

  • NY Empire State Manufacturing Index came in higher than expected in July.
  • US Dollar Index clings to daily gains above 92.50.

The headline General Business Conditions Index of the NY Fed's Empire State Manufacturing Survey improved sharply to 43 from 17.4 in June. This reading fell short of the market expectation of 18 by a wide margin.

Market reaction

This data doesn't seem to be having a significant impact on the USD's market valuation. As of writing, the US Dollar Index is up 0.2% on the day at 92.54.

Additional takeaways

"The new orders index climbed seventeen points to 33.2, and the shipments index increased thirty points to 43.8, pointing to rapid growth in both orders and shipments."

"The index for number of employees increased eight points to 20.6, and the average workweek index held steady at 14.0, pointing to ongoing gains in employment and hours worked."

"The index for future business conditions fell eight points, but at 39.5 indicated ongoing optimism about future conditions."

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flatlines below 1.1800 amid trading lull, awaits Fed Minutes

EUR/USD trades around a flatline below 1.1800 in European trading on Tuesday. The pair lacks any trading impetus as the US Dollar moves little amid market caution ahead of the Fed's December Meeting Minutes release, which could offer insights into the Federal Reserve’s 2026 outlook.

GBP/USD retakes 1.3500 despite the year-end grind

GBP/USD finds fresh demand and retakes 1.3500 on Tuesday as markets grind through the last trading week of the year. Despite the latest uptick, the pair is unlikely to see further progress due to the year-end holiday volumes.

Gold holds the bounce on Fed rate cut bets, safe-haven flows

Gold holds the rebound near $4,350 in the European trading hours on Tuesday. The precious metal recovers some lost ground after falling 4.5% in the previous session, which was Gold's largest single-day loss since October. Increased margin requirements on gold and silver futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, one of the world’s largest trading floors for commodities, prompted widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

Tron steadies as Justin Sun invests $18 million in Tron Inc.

Tron (TRX) trades above $0.2800 at press time on Monday, hovering below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.2859.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).