US industrial output plunged again in October - ING

Eren Sengezer FXStreet

Commenting on the Federal Reserve's monthly data that showed both the Manufacturing Production and the Industrial Production in the United States declined in October, "US industrial output plunged again in October as the combination of weak global activity, trade uncertainty and a strong dollar weighed on activity," said ING analysts. "Unfortunately, business surveys suggest there is more pain ahead for the sector."

Key quotes

"US industrial production fell 0.8% month-on-month in October – the biggest decline in output since May 2009 – as manufacturing, utilities and mining all posted declines. This is the third monthly output drop in the last four months with output now down 1.1% year-on-year."

"Manufacturing remains a clear concern as weakness in global growth, trade uncertainty and the strong dollar all weigh on sentiment and demand in the sector. Output fell 0.6% here after a 0.5% fall in September, bringing the year-to-date drop in output to -2.2%. In fact, output remains 5.5% below the peak seen in December 2007."

"The legacy of the GM strike is still in the data with output of motor vehicles down 7.1% MoM, but even when this component is excluded non-motor vehicle manufacturing output still fell 0.1% MoM."

Author

Eren Sengezer

FXStreet

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

EUR/USD recedes to daily lows near 1.1850

EUR/USD keeps its bearish momentum well in place, slipping back to the area of 1.1850 to hit daily lows on Monday. The pair’s continuation of the leg lower comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar in a context of scarce volatility and thin trade conditions due to the inactivity in the US markets.

GBP/USD resumes the downtrend, back to the low-1.3600s

GBP/USD rapidly leaves behind Friday’s decent advance, refocusing on the downside and retreating to the 1.3630 region at the beginning of the week. In the meantime, the British Pound is expected to remain under the microscope ahead of the release of the key UK labour market report on Tuesday.

Gold looks inconclusive around $5,000

Gold partially fades Friday’s strong recovery, orbiting around the key $5,000 region per troy ounce in a context of humble gains in the Greenback on Monday. Additing to the vacillating mood, trade conditions remain thin amid the observance of the Presidents Day holiday in the US.

Bitcoin consolidates as on-chain data show mixed signals

Bitcoin price has consolidated between $65,700 and $72,000 over the past nine days, with no clear directional bias. US-listed spot ETFs recorded a $359.91 million weekly outflow, marking the fourth consecutive week of withdrawals.

The week ahead: Key inflation readings and why the AI trade could be overdone

It is likely to be a quiet start to the week, with US markets closed on Monday for Presidents Day. European markets are higher across the board and gold is clinging to the $5,000 level after the tamer than expected CPI report in the US reduced haven flows to precious metals.

XRP steadies in narrow range as fund inflows, futures interest rise

Ripple is trading in a narrow range between $1.45 (immediate support) and $1.50 (resistance) at the time of writing on Monday. The remittance token extended its recovery last week, peaking at $1.67 on Sunday from the weekly open at $1.43.