|

S&P/ASX 200 index Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

S&P/ASX 200 Elliott Wave Analysis - Day Chart.

S&P/ASX 200 Elliott Wave technical analysis

  • Function: Trend.

  • Mode: Impulsive.

  • Structure: Gray wave 3.

  • Position: Orange wave 3.

  • Next lower degree: Gray wave 4.

  • Details: Gray wave 2 is now considered complete. The market is currently in gray wave 3 of orange wave 3.

  • Invalidation level: 7,625.9

The S&P/ASX 200 Elliott Wave Analysis on the day chart indicates a strong trending market, with an impulsive mode currently active. The main wave structure in focus is gray wave 3, signaling continued upward momentum in the market. The current position is within orange wave 3, which is part of the larger gray wave 3. This indicates that the market is experiencing a bullish phase with expectations of further upward movement.

The analysis notes that gray wave 2 has already been completed, and now gray wave 3 of orange wave 3 is in progress. This transition from the corrective phase (wave 2) to the impulsive phase (wave 3) usually sees a stronger price movement following the prevailing trend. The next significant point to watch is the development of gray wave 4, which will occur after the completion of gray wave 3.

An important aspect of this analysis is the invalidation level set at 7,625.9. If the market falls below this level, it would signal a potential change in the wave structure, and a reevaluation of the market's direction might be necessary.

Summary

The S&P/ASX 200 is currently in a strong bullish trend, with both gray wave 3 and orange wave 3 in play. The completion of gray wave 2 and the ongoing progression of gray wave 3 suggest sustained bullish momentum. The invalidation level to watch is 7,625.9, which could signal a reversal or change in the wave structure.

Chart

S&P/ASX 200 Elliott Wave Analysis - Weekly Chart

S&P/ASX 200 Elliott Wave technical analysis

  • Function: Trend.

  • Mode: Impulsive.

  • Structure: Orange wave 3.

  • Position: Navy Blue Wave 3.

  • Next lower degree: Orange wave 4.

  • Details: Orange wave 2 is complete. Currently, orange wave 3 of navy blue wave 3 is active.

  • Invalidation level: 7,625.9.

The S&P/ASX 200 Elliott Wave Analysis on the weekly chart shows that the market is following a clear trend in an impulsive mode. The focus is on orange wave 3, which suggests a continuation of the upward trend. The market is now positioned in navy blue wave 3, which is a higher-level wave, indicating a bullish trend remains intact.

As per the analysis, orange wave 2 is considered complete, and the market is progressing through orange wave 3 of navy blue wave 3. This phase typically sees strong price increases as the impulsive wave 3 advances, often representing the most dynamic part of the wave structure.

The next phase to watch for is orange wave 4, which will come into play once orange wave 3 is complete. Orange wave 4 will likely represent a corrective phase after the current impulsive movement. However, the overall trend remains bullish for now.

A key point to monitor is the invalidation level at 7,625.9. If the market falls below this level, the current wave structure and bullish outlook could be invalidated, potentially signaling a need for reassessment.

Summary

The S&P/ASX 200 is in a strong upward trend, with both orange wave 3 and navy blue wave 3 in progress. The completion of orange wave 2 and the ongoing impulsive phase suggest continued bullish momentum. The key invalidation level to watch is 7,625.9, which could indicate a potential change in the wave structure if breached.

Chart

Technical analyst: Malik Awais.

S&P/ASX 200 Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD remains bid, focus stays on 1.1900

EUR/USD has broken its two-day run of losses and is ticking modestly higher on Thursday, hovering around the 1.1880 area as the US Dollar struggles to find clear direction. Weekly Initial Jobless Claims rose more than expected, taking a bit of shine off the Greenback, but markets are largely in wait-and-see mode ahead of Friday’s US CPI release.

GBP/USD sticks to the bid bias, still below 1.3700

GBP/USD is trading with decent gains around 1.3650 on Thursday. Indeed, Cable is attempting to shake off the weakness seen earlier in the week amid another choppy session for the Greenback, while a run of disappointing UK data has so far failed to derail the pair’s tentative recovery.

Gold plummets towards $4,900 as market players run into the USD

Gold plunges in the American session on Thursday, down over $150 a troy ounce in little less than an hour. Wall Street's collapse seems to be behind the ongoing US Dollar renewed strength, with the tech and the housing sectors leading the slump.

LayerZero Price Forecast: ZRO steadies as markets digest Zero blockchain announcement

LayerZero (ZRO) trades above $2.00 at press time on Thursday, holding steady after a 17% rebound the previous day, which aligned with the public announcement of the Zero blockchain and Cathie Wood joining the advisory board. 

A tale of two labour markets: Headline strength masks underlying weakness

Undoubtedly, yesterday’s delayed US January jobs report delivered a strong headline – one that surpassed most estimates. However, optimism quickly faded amid sobering benchmark revisions.

Aster Price Forecast: Demand sparks on Binance Wallet partnership for on-chain perpetuals

Aster is up roughly 9% so far on Thursday, hinting at the breakout of a crucial resistance level. Aster partners up with Binance wallet for the second season of the on-chain perpetuals challenge.