|

S&P 500 Futures Price Analysis: Road to recovery intact while above 200-HMA

  • S&P 500 futures bounce-off 200-HMA support once again.
  • 50-HMA challenges the recovery path, as the bulls retain control.
  • A brief pullback cannot be ruled out ahead of Wall Street open.

S&P 500 futures, the risk barometer, have staged a solid comeback on Wednesday after a sharp sell-off witnessed late Tuesday.

Fresh hopes of US stimulus, after President Donald Trump backtracked somewhat on his decision to abandon the fiscal stimulus talks, lifted the overall market mood. Trump, in a couple of tweets this morning, asked the US lawmakers to agree on airline support and paycheck protection.

Over the last hour, the bulls seem to face exhaustion while the 50-hourly Simple Moving Average (HMA) at 3378 threatens the road to recovery from the critical 200-HMA level, currently at 3343.

The hourly Relative Strength Index (RSI) has turned south, at 52.77, still remains in the bullish territory, allowing for more recovery gains.

Meanwhile, the confluence of the 21 and 100-HMAs at 3366 caps the immediate downside.

Acceptance below the last would trigger a fresh drop back towards the 200-HMA.

S&P 500 Futures: Hourly chart

fxsoriginal

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD drops to multi-week lows below 1.3300

GBP/USD sets aside Friday’s uptick and breaches below the 1.3300 yardstcik on Monday to hit new multi-week troughs. Falling crude oil prices following a pause in the Middle East conflict in combination with the recent soft reading in UK inflation appear to play against any BoE tightening ahead of the bank’s event later in the week.

EUR/USD meets support near 1.1370

EUR/USD fades the initial bull run past 1.1400 the figure, deflating toward the 1.1370 zone on Monday. That said, the pair reverses two daily drops in a row on the back of the irresolute price action in the US Dollar, at the time when investors continue to closely follow developments from the Middle East conflict. Next on tap is the release of the US Consumer Confidence gauge by the Conference Board.

Gold struggles to extend gains beyond $4,100
Spot Gold gapped higher at the beginning of the new week, as a pause in Middle East hostilities underpinned the mood and weighed on the US Dollar (USD). The XAU/USD pair traded as high as $4,116.20 during Asian trading hours, following a pause in strikes between Iran and the United States (US).
Bitcoin vs Gold: BTC and Gold struggle to gain momentum despite US-Iran truce
Market participants are changing gears on Monday from the war between the United States (US) and Iran in the Middle East to the anticipated Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision. Meanwhile, Bitcoin (BTC) and Gold (XAU) are losing momentum, with BTC slipping below the pivotal $65,000 level while XAU remains sideways in the $4,000-$4,100 range.
Pause in military action fails to inspire market rally
More tech volatility has outweighed the impact of the pause in US-Iran fighting, says Chris Beauchamp, Chief Market Analyst at online trading and investing platform IG. When a calming of Middle Eastern hostilities fails to provoke a major up day in stocks, you know there is more trouble ahead.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.