Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD struggles near $25.00 mark, bearish bias remains


  • Silver came under some renewed selling pressure on Friday and stalled this week’s recovery move.
  • The set-up remains tilted in favour of bearish traders and supports prospects for additional losses.
  • A sustained move back above the $26.00 mark is needed to negate the near-term negative outlook.

Silver witnessed some fresh selling on the last day of the week and for now, seems to have snapped two consecutive days of the winning streak. The white metal was last seen flirting with daily lows, just above the key $25.00 psychological mark.

From a technical perspective, the commodity's inability to capitalize on this week's goodish recovery move from the lowest level since April 13 and the emergence of fresh selling favours bearish traders. This comes on the back of a sustained break below the $25.70-65 confluence support and supports prospects for an extension of the one-week-old downtrend.

The mentioned region comprised the very important 200-day SMA and the 61.8% Fibonacci level of the $23.78-$28.75 move up, which should now act as a pivotal point for short-term traders. Meanwhile, oscillators on the daily chart are holding in the bearish zone and are still far from being in the oversold territory, adding credence to the negative outlook.

Subsequent weakness below weekly swing lows, around the $24.75 region, will reaffirm the bearish bias and pave the way for a slide towards the $24.00 round-figure mark. The XAG/USD could slide further and eventually aim to challenge YTD lows, around the $23.80-75 region.

On the flip side, any meaningful recovery attempt could be seen as a selling opportunity and runs the risk of fizzling out rather quickly near the mentioned $25.70-65 confluence support breakpoint. This is followed by the $26.00 round-figure mark, above which the recovery could get extended towards the next relevant barrier near the $26.40-50 heavy supply zone.

Silver daily chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price 25.13
Today Daily Change -0.29
Today Daily Change % -1.14
Today daily open 25.42
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 25.93
Daily SMA50 26.82
Daily SMA100 26.34
Daily SMA200 25.87
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 25.46
Previous Daily Low 25.02
Previous Weekly High 26.46
Previous Weekly Low 25.6
Previous Monthly High 28.56
Previous Monthly Low 25.52
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 25.29
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 25.19
Daily Pivot Point S1 25.14
Daily Pivot Point S2 24.85
Daily Pivot Point S3 24.69
Daily Pivot Point R1 25.59
Daily Pivot Point R2 25.75
Daily Pivot Point R3 26.03

 

 

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