|

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD edges lower following lower Jobless Claims

  • The XAG/USD continued its downward path and fell to $23.75, below its 20-day SMA.
  • US Initial Jobless Claims for the first week of December were better than expected.
  • US bond yields are rising ahead of key labor reports on Friday.

In Thursday's session, Silver price (XAG/USD) continued declining and tallied a third consecutive day of losses, falling to $23.75. The precious metal price is being pushed down after US yields rose following the release of US jobless claims, which came in lower than predicted. The performance was further boosted by a steady US Dollar (USD).

In line with that, the U.S. Department of Labor revealed that the Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending on December 2 came in at 220K, vs. the 222K expected, and still accelerated from its previous 218K.

Following the data, US bond yields rose as strong labor market data favors the case of a more aggressive Fed. The 2-year rate is at 4.60%, whereas the 5-year and 10-year yields are at 4.15%. The rising rates further pressure the non-yielding metals as US Treasury bond yields are typically viewed as their opportunity cost of holding.

That being said, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics is scheduled to report Average Hourly Earnings, Unemployment Rate, and Nonfarm Payrolls on Friday. These reports will shape the expectations of the next Decisions of the Federal Reserve (Fed) as the Bank closely monitors them. It's worth noticing that the officials signaled that they need to see more evidence of the economy cooling down so the outcome of the data may shape the short-term trajectory of the pair.

As for now, markets are forecasting that the Nonfarm Payrolls have accelerated in November while wages decelerated and the Unemployment rate remains steady at 3.9%.

XAG/USD levels to watch

The technical indicators on the daily chart reflect a neutral picture. Despite a negative slope in the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicating increasing selling momentum, it remains in positive territory, suggesting that buying pressure still exists. However, rising red bars in the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram echoes that the bears are gaining momentum, which contributes to a somewhat mixed picture..

Concerning Simple Moving Averages (SMAs), the price is below the 20-day SMA, displaying a near-term bearish bias. Nevertheless, the position above the 100 and 200-day SMAs shows that the bulls have the upper hand in the larger timeframe.

Support Levels: $23.50, $23.30,$23.00
Resistance Levels: $24.00, $24.30, $24.50.


XAG/USD daily chart

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price23.78
Today Daily Change-0.16
Today Daily Change %-0.67
Today daily open23.94
 
Trends
Daily SMA2023.9
Daily SMA5023.03
Daily SMA10023.28
Daily SMA20023.47
 
Levels
Previous Daily High24.36
Previous Daily Low23.88
Previous Weekly High25.52
Previous Weekly Low24.26
Previous Monthly High25.27
Previous Monthly Low21.88
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%24.06
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%24.18
Daily Pivot Point S123.75
Daily Pivot Point S223.57
Daily Pivot Point S323.27
Daily Pivot Point R124.24
Daily Pivot Point R224.54
Daily Pivot Point R324.73

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.