|

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD bulls await a sustained move beyond 61.8% Fibo. level

  • Silver has been trending higher along an upward sloping channel on the daily chart.
  • The technical set-up favours bullish traders and supports prospects for further gains.
  • Only a sustained break below the $26.00-$25.90 will negate the constructive outlook.

Silver continued with its struggle to capitalize on the move beyond the 61.8% Fibonacci level of the $30.07-$23.78 downfall and trimmed a part of its intraday gains to one-week tops. The commodity was last seen trading around the $27.60-65 region, still up nearly 1.0% for the day.

Looking at the broader picture, the recent strong recovery from YTD lows, around the $23.80-75 region touched on March 31 has been along an upward sloping channel. This points to a well-established bullish trend and supports prospects for a further appreciating move for the XAG/USD.

The constructive set-up is reinforced by the fact that oscillators on hourly/daily charts have been gaining positive traction and are still far from being in the overbought territory. That said, bulls might still wait for a move beyond the $27.75-80 region before placing fresh bets.

The mentioned barrier is closely followed by the $28.00 round-figure mark, which if cleared decisively will reaffirm the bullish outlook. The XAG/USD might then accelerate the momentum further towards testing the $28.25-30 supply zone, which coincides with trend-channel resistance.

Some follow-through buying will mark a fresh breakout and set the stage for additional gains towards reclaiming the $29.00 mark in the near term.

On the flip side, any meaningful pullback might continue to attract some dip-buying and remain limited near the $27.00-$26.90 confluence support. This comprises the lower boundary of the ascending channel and 50% Fibo. level, which if broken will negate the positive bias.

The subsequent selling pressure has the potential to drag the XAG/USD further towards the $26.15-10 area (38.2% Fibo.) en-route the $26.00 mark. Some follow-through selling will expose the $25.00 psychological mark, with some intermediate support near the $25.30-25 zone (23.6% Fibo.).

XAG/USD daily chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price27.6
Today Daily Change0.20
Today Daily Change %0.73
Today daily open27.4
 
Trends
Daily SMA2026.61
Daily SMA5025.89
Daily SMA10026.2
Daily SMA20025.66
 
Levels
Previous Daily High27.48
Previous Daily Low26.82
Previous Weekly High27.88
Previous Weekly Low26.72
Previous Monthly High26.64
Previous Monthly Low24.25
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%27.23
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%27.07
Daily Pivot Point S126.99
Daily Pivot Point S226.57
Daily Pivot Point S326.32
Daily Pivot Point R127.65
Daily Pivot Point R227.9
Daily Pivot Point R328.32

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds around 1.1750 after weak German and EU PMI data

EUR/USD maintains its range trade at around 1.1750 in European trading on Tuesday. Weaker-than-expected December PMI data from Germany and the Eurozone make it difficult for the Euro to find demand, while investors refrain from taking large USD positions ahead of key employment data.

GBP/USD remains below 1.3400 after mixed UK labor data

GBP/USD is trading around a flat line below 1.3400 in the European session on Tuesday. The UK ILO Unemployment Rate rose to 5.1% in the quarter to October, meeting expectations, while the pay growth cooled down sligthly in the same period, doing little to affect the Pound Sterling.

Gold retreats from seven week highs on profit-taking; all eyes on US NFP release

Gold price loses momentum below $4,300 during the early European trading hours on Tuesday, pressured by some profit-taking and weak long liquidation from the shorter-term futures traders. Furthermore, optimism around Ukraine peace talks could weigh on the safe-haven asset like Gold.

US Nonfarm Payrolls expected to point to cooling labor market in November

The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the delayed Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for October and November on Tuesday at 13:30 GMT. Economists expect Nonfarm Payrolls to rise by 40,000 in November. The Unemployment Rate is likely to remain unchanged at 4.4% during the same period.

NFP preview: Complex data release will determine if Fed was right to cut rates

The long wait is over, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the US will release nonfarm payrolls reports for both November and October at 1330 GMT on Tuesday. The overall NFP figure for October is expected to be -10k, however, it is expected to be influenced by a massive 130k drop in federal department workers. 

BNB Price Forecast: BNB slips below $855 as bearish on-chain signals and momentum indicators turn negative

BNB, formerly known as Binance Coin, continues to trade down around $855 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight decline the previous day. Bearish sentiment further strengthens as BNB’s on-chain and derivatives data show rising retail activity.