Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD breaks through a multi-month descending trend-line hurdle


  • Silver rallied to over one-month tops during the early European session on Tuesday.
  • The momentum seems strong enough to push the XAG/USD beyond the $24.00 mark.

Silver caught aggressive bids on Tuesday and shot to one-month tops, around the $23.70 region during the early European session.

From a technical perspective, the XAG/USD showed some resilience below the 200-period SMA on the 4-hour chart and managed to defend the $23.00 mark for the second consecutive session on Monday. The subsequent positive move validated the recent bullish breakout through an inverted head and shoulders neckline. This, in turn, supports prospects for a further near-term appreciating move.

Silver 4-hour chart

fxsoriginal

The constructive setup is reinforced by the fact that technical indicators on the daily chart have just started moving into the bullish territory and are still far from being in the overbought zone. Bulls might now be looking to build on the momentum further beyond a downward-sloping trend-line resistance, extending from July monthly swing highs, around the $26.75-80 region.

Silver daily chart

fxsoriginal

Nevertheless, the XAG/USD seems all set to extend its recent recovery move from YTD lows and aim to reclaim the $24.00 round-figure mark. This is followed by resistance near the $24.15-20 region, above which the momentum could further get extended towards the next relevant hurdle around the $24.75-80 region. The white metal could eventually climb to the key $25.00 psychological mark.

On the flip side, the $23.50 region now seems to protect the immediate downside. Any subsequent pullback might still be seen as a buying opportunity near the $23.00 mark, which should act as a strong near-term base for the XAG/USD and a key pivotal point for traders. A convincing break below might prompt some technical selling and accelerate the corrective fall towards the $22.75-70 region.

Technical levels to watch

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price 23.69
Today Daily Change 0.50
Today Daily Change % 2.16
Today daily open 23.19
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 22.65
Daily SMA50 23.27
Daily SMA100 24.7
Daily SMA200 25.52
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 23.46
Previous Daily Low 23.01
Previous Weekly High 23.59
Previous Weekly Low 22.35
Previous Monthly High 24.87
Previous Monthly Low 21.42
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 23.18
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 23.29
Daily Pivot Point S1 22.99
Daily Pivot Point S2 22.78
Daily Pivot Point S3 22.54
Daily Pivot Point R1 23.43
Daily Pivot Point R2 23.66
Daily Pivot Point R3 23.87

 

 

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