• NZD/USD fades the bounce from two-week lows, as USD bulls return.
  • Post-Fed risk-on mood, recovery in the US yields drive the USD uptick.
  • Focus shifts to the US NFP release for a decisive move in the kiwi.

NZD/USD is back in the red zone, heading towards the 0.7150 level in Thursday’s Asian trading.

The resurgent demand for the US dollar amid a rebound in the US Treasury yields is weighing on the kiwi’s recovery from two-week lows of 0.7092 reached on Tuesday.

The yields and the dollar are reversing the US Federal Reserve (Fed) inflicted losses, in the face of Chair Jerome Powell turning out dovish, citing patience on raising the interest rates until the central bank’s maximum employment goal is achieved.

The Fed announced tapering of its bond-buying programme by $15 billion per month while noting the rising price pressures are ‘expected to be transitory’.

The dovish stint by Powell and Co. is contradicting the strong hawkish expectations from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). The RBNZ is expected to hike rates by as much as 50bps when its meets later this month.

The monetary policy divergence between the Fed and RBNZ could help limit any pullback in NZD/USD, as traders may readjust their positions ahead of Friday’s critical US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) release.

In the meantime, the US weekly Jobless Claims and goods trade balance could entertain the traders this Thursday.

NZD/USD technical levels to consider


Today last price 0.7157
Today Daily Change -0.0002
Today Daily Change % -0.03
Today daily open 0.7159
Daily SMA20 0.7094
Daily SMA50 0.7058
Daily SMA100 0.7021
Daily SMA200 0.7101
Previous Daily High 0.7174
Previous Daily Low 0.7102
Previous Weekly High 0.7218
Previous Weekly Low 0.713
Previous Monthly High 0.7219
Previous Monthly Low 0.6876
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.7147
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.713
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.7117
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.7074
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.7045
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.7188
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.7217
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.726



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