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NZD/USD remains stuck in tight range below 0.6600 ahead of NZ inflation data

  • NZD/USD fluctuates in a 15-pip range on Thursday.
  • US Dollar Index extends sideways grind above 97.50.
  • Annual CPI in New Zealand is expected to rise to 1.8% in Q4.

The NZD/USD pair is struggling to find direction on Thursday and trading in a very tight 15-pip range below the 0.6600 handle with investors staying on the sidelines ahead of the key inflation data from New Zealand. As of writing, the pair was up 0.05% on the day at 0.6594.

The lack of significant macroeconomic data releases from China and New Zealand caused the pair to stay stuck in its narrow channel. Although the positively-correlated AUD/USD pair gained nearly 40 pips during the Asian trading hours following the upbeat labour market data from Australia, the NZD/USD failed to react.

On the other hand, the greenback's uninspiring performance since the start of the week allows the pair to extend its sideways action. The US Dollar Index, which tracks the USD's value against a basket of six major currencies, seems to have gone into a consolidation phase after meeting resistance near 97.70 on Monday.

Will CPI data bring volatility?

Later in the day, the weekly Initial Jobless Claims and Kansas City Fed's Manufacturing Index from the US will be looked upon for fresh impetus. More importantly, Statistics New Zealand will publish its quarterly inflation report at 21:45 GMT. 

Markets expect the Consumer Price Index (CPI) to rise to 1.8% on a yearly basis in the fourth quarter from 1.5% and a lower-than-expected reading could weigh on the NZD as it would allow the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to continue to cut rates without worrying about inflation.

Technical levels to watch for

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6593
Today Daily Change-0.0003
Today Daily Change %-0.05
Today daily open0.6596
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6652
Daily SMA500.6568
Daily SMA1000.6457
Daily SMA2000.6513
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6611
Previous Daily Low0.6581
Previous Weekly High0.6666
Previous Weekly Low0.6584
Previous Monthly High0.6756
Previous Monthly Low0.6424
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.66
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6592
Daily Pivot Point S10.6581
Daily Pivot Point S20.6566
Daily Pivot Point S30.6551
Daily Pivot Point R10.6611
Daily Pivot Point R20.6626
Daily Pivot Point R30.6641

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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