NZD/USD Price Analysis: Slides to over 1-week lows, below 0.6400 mark

  • NZD/USD extended the previous day’s rejection slide from 200-hour SMA.
  • The ongoing corrective slide could get extended towards the 0.6320 area.
  • The bullish flag supports prospects for the emergence of some dip-buying.

The NZD/USD pair extended its steady intraday fall and weakened further below the 0.6400 mark, hitting over one-week lows during the early European session.

The pair has now retreated back closer to last week's swing lows support, around the 0.6380 region. This comes on the back of the previous day's rejection near 200-hour SMA and support prospects for further weakness.

Meanwhile, oscillators on hourly charts have been drifting lower in the bearish territory and losing positive traction on the daily chart. This, in turn, reinforce the negative outlook amid a modest pickup in the USD demand.

Hence, some follow-through weakness back towards testing the very important 200-day SMA, around the 0.6320 region, now looks a distinct possibility. The said support coincides with the lower end of a short-term descending channel.

Against the backdrop of the pair's recent strong positive move witnessed over the past three months or so, the mentioned channel constitutes towards the formation of a bullish continuation flag pattern on short-term charts.

Hence, the ongoing corrective slide – though could get extended further – might still be seen as a buying opportunity. This, in turn, should help limit deeper losses and thus, warrant some caution for aggressive bearish traders.

NZD/USD 1-hourly chart


Technical levels to watch


Today last price 0.6391
Today Daily Change -0.0030
Today Daily Change % -0.47
Today daily open 0.6421
Daily SMA20 0.6456
Daily SMA50 0.6231
Daily SMA100 0.6177
Daily SMA200 0.6326
Previous Daily High 0.6444
Previous Daily Low 0.6403
Previous Weekly High 0.6534
Previous Weekly Low 0.6383
Previous Monthly High 0.6241
Previous Monthly Low 0.5921
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6428
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6418
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6401
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6381
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.636
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6442
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6464
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6484



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