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NZD/USD Price Analysis: Pulls back from 100-SMA on an eventful day

  • NZD/USD remains pressured around intraday low following multiple catalyst from Australia, China and New Zealand.
  • Firmer Aussie jobs report, PBOC rate cut couldn’t withstand NZ PM Ardern’s warning.
  • RSI retreat, sluggish MACD direct sellers towards the monthly support.
  • Two-month-old horizontal area acts as an additional upside filter.

NZD/USD remains on the back foot around 0.6775, extending early Asian losses during Thursday.

In doing so, the Kiwi pair reverses from 100-SMA while justifying New Zealand Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern’s warning to tighten the activity measures if the Omicron spreads faster.

Read: NZ PM Ardern: Won’t resort to lockdowns when omicron arrives

With this, the quote rejects the previous bullish bias due to the upbeat Aussie jobs report for December and the People’s Bank of China’s (PBOC) first 5-year Loan Prime Rate (LPR) cut in 21 months.

That said, the downward sloping RSI line, not oversold, joins sluggish MACD and failures to cross the 100-SMA to direct NZD/USD prices towards a one-month-old rising support line, around 0.6755 by the press time.

In a case where the pair sellers dominate past 0.6755, the year 2021 trough surrounding 0.6700 will regain the market’s attention.

Alternatively, recovery moves beyond 100-SMA level of 0.6800 may aim for 0.6860 but a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since late November, close to 0.6890-95, will be a tough nut to crack for the NZD/USD bulls.

Should NZD/USD prices rally past 0.6895, the 0.6900 will act as a validation point for the rally towards the 0.7000 psychological magnet.

NZD/USD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further weakness expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.6777
Today Daily Change-0.0012
Today Daily Change %-0.18%
Today daily open0.6789
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6805
Daily SMA500.6835
Daily SMA1000.6951
Daily SMA2000.7018
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6812
Previous Daily Low0.6763
Previous Weekly High0.6891
Previous Weekly Low0.6736
Previous Monthly High0.6891
Previous Monthly Low0.6701
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6793
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6782
Daily Pivot Point S10.6764
Daily Pivot Point S20.6739
Daily Pivot Point S30.6715
Daily Pivot Point R10.6813
Daily Pivot Point R20.6837
Daily Pivot Point R30.6862

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
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