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NZD/USD holds above 0.5900 following New Zealand CPI data

  • NZD/USD pair holds positive ground around 0.5905 following New Zealand inflation data. 
  • The New Zealand CPI inflation rose to 0.6% QoQ in Q1 from 0.5% in the previous reading, as expected. 
  • Powell said recent data have not given Fed greater confidence, likely to take longer than expected to achieve its target. 

The NZD/USD pair rebounds to 0.5905, bouncing off the yearly low of 0.5860 on Wednesday during the early Asian session. The expectation that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is unlikely to lower its Official Cash Rate (OCR) soon lift the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) against the US Dollar (USD). 

The annual rate of inflation in New Zealand has continued to fall, according to figures released by Stats NZ today. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 4.0% YoY in the first quarter of 2024. Stats NZ’s consumer prices senior manager Nicola Growden said, "Price increases this quarter are the smallest since June 2021. However, they remain above the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s target range of 1 to 3 percent,”  

Inflationary pressures in New Zealand eased further in the March quarter, although domestic prices remained uncomfortably sticky, keeping rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand unlikely to happen soon. This, in turn, provides some support to the NZD. 

On the USD’s front, the hawkish comments from Federal Reserve (Fed) Jerome Powell might lift the US Dollar (USD) in the near term. Fed Chair Powell stated that the US economy has not seen inflation come back to the central bank’s target, suggesting that interest rate cuts are unlikely to be seen in the near future. Investors see a nearly 67% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates in September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. 

Furthermore, the safe-haven flows amid the rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East might boost the Greenback and cap the upside of the NZD/USD pair. National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan said in a statement late Tuesday that new sanctions targeting Iran and sanctions against entities supporting the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and Iran's Defense Ministry will be imposed in the coming days.

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.5906
Today Daily Change0.0026
Today Daily Change %0.44
Today daily open0.588
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.5993
Daily SMA500.6075
Daily SMA1000.6132
Daily SMA2000.6062
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.5908
Previous Daily Low0.5868
Previous Weekly High0.6079
Previous Weekly Low0.5933
Previous Monthly High0.6218
Previous Monthly Low0.5956
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.5884
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.5893
Daily Pivot Point S10.5863
Daily Pivot Point S20.5846
Daily Pivot Point S30.5823
Daily Pivot Point R10.5902
Daily Pivot Point R20.5925
Daily Pivot Point R30.5942

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

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