NZD/USD clears daily gains following US Q2 GDP data

The NZD/USD peaked at a daily high of 0.6272 and then settled below 0.6200.
US Q2 GDP, Durable Goods and Jobless Claims data came in strong, beating expectations.
Investors digest Wednesday’s Fed decision and start to model their expectations.

Patricio Martín FXStreet

On Thursday, the NZD/USD saw volatility and retreated from a daily high of 0.6272 and then fell below 0.6200. In that sense, the USD gained traction following robust high-tier economic data while investors asses the latest Federal Reserve (Fed) decision.

On Wednesday's press conference, Jerome Powell noted that future decisions will depend “solely” on incoming data after the Fed announced a 25 basis point hike to the 5.25-5.50% target range. In that sense, as the US reported an additional set of robust data, investors are starting to place bets on a possible hike in the September or November meeting, which seems to fuel the USD.

That being said, the Q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) from the US, was reported to expand at an annualised rate of 2.4%, above the 1.8% expected and the previous 2%, while Durable Goods notably grew in June. The headline figure saw a 4.7% MoM increase beating the 1% expected, while orders excluding Defense and Transportation expanded by 6.2% and 0.6%, respectively, while markets expected them to remain steady.

In addition, Jobless Claims for the week ending on July 21 continued to decelerate, coming in at 221,000, below the 235,000 expected and the previous 228,000. As for now, according to eh CME FedWatch tool, markets are discounting 24% odds of a hike in September and a 33% possibility of an increase in the November meeting.

NZD/USD Levels to watch

From a technical perspective, the NZD/USD short-term outlook turned bearish for the short term, with indicators standing in the negative ground on the daily chart while the pair has fallen below the 20,100 and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA).
The daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) holds a neutral slope just below its midline, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) prints soft red bars indicating a mild bear dominance.

Resistance levels:0.6227 (20-day SMA), 0.6217 (200-day SMA), 0.61978 (100-day SMA)

Support levels: 0.6190,0.6170, 0.6150

NZD/USD Daily chart

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price	0.6201
Today Daily Change	-0.0009
Today Daily Change %	-0.14
Today daily open	0.621

Trends
Daily SMA20	0.6221
Daily SMA50	0.6168
Daily SMA100	0.6197
Daily SMA200	0.6214

Levels
Previous Daily High	0.6236
Previous Daily Low	0.6183
Previous Weekly High	0.637
Previous Weekly Low	0.6163
Previous Monthly High	0.625
Previous Monthly Low	0.599
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	0.6203
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	0.6216
Daily Pivot Point S1	0.6183
Daily Pivot Point S2	0.6156
Daily Pivot Point S3	0.6129
Daily Pivot Point R1	0.6237
Daily Pivot Point R2	0.6263
Daily Pivot Point R3	0.629

Author

Patricio Martín

FXStreet

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

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