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NZD/USD: Bears eye October low of 0.6203 as coronavirus kills risk

  • Kiwi dumped almost a big figure amid coronavirus-linked risk-off
  • Oil slump deepens the losses in the commodity-currency.
  • RBNZ rate cut bets rise, as eyes remain on virus updates, US data.

Amid broad risk-aversion, the selling pressure around the New Zealand dollar remains intact, as NZD/USD hovers close to a new four-month low of 0.6232 reached in the last hour.

Coronavirus headlines lead the way

As the fears over a potential coronavirus pandemic intensifty each passing day, with the number of new cases outside China rapidly rising, investors continue to snap higher-yielding/ risk assets such as the Kiwi in search for safe-havens.

Further, the blood bath in the global equity markets, Treasury yields and Wall Street futures amid increased global recession risks, deteriorates the market mood and exacerbates the pain in the spot. The latest leg down in the Kiwi was mainly driven by the news that New Zealand confirmed its first coronavirus case, as the infectious respiratory disease spread across the globe.

The major is down over 1% and loses almost 90-pips from the daily high of 0.6319 reached in early Asia. With growing concerns over the negative coronavirus impact, the rate cut expectations from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) have ramped up, just as markets have almost priced-in a March Fed rate cut.

Further, the collapse in oil prices also collaborates with the downside in the resource-linked Kiwi. Oil prices are down over 3%, at the weakest levels in 13 months.

Meanwhile, broad-based US dollar weakness also failed to move the Kiwi bears, as the virus-led risk sentiment continues to emerge as a key market driver. The focus now shifts to the US Core PCE Price Index and Consumer Sentiment data for near-term trading impetus.

NZD/USD technical levels to watch out

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6240
Today Daily Change-0.0069
Today Daily Change %-1.09
Today daily open0.6312
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6402
Daily SMA500.6538
Daily SMA1000.6485
Daily SMA2000.6491
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6335
Previous Daily Low0.6283
Previous Weekly High0.6449
Previous Weekly Low0.6303
Previous Monthly High0.6741
Previous Monthly Low0.6453
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6315
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6303
Daily Pivot Point S10.6285
Daily Pivot Point S20.6258
Daily Pivot Point S30.6233
Daily Pivot Point R10.6337
Daily Pivot Point R20.6362
Daily Pivot Point R30.6389

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

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