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NZ: Housing market stabilising – ANZ

ANZ analysts note that the New Zealand’s housing market has tentatively stabilised as nationally, house prices were flat m/m in July (up 1.7% y/y 3mma), but the theme of regional divergence continued.

Key Quotes

“Auckland prices are down 3.3% y/y, while pockets of strength remain in the regions of Manawatu-Whanganui and Southland. Falls in mortgage rates over the past year have not provided a noticeable boost to house prices so far, but the recent pick-up in sales supports our expectation of stabilisation in prices from here.”

“Overall, the outlook for house price inflation is delicately balanced. Lower mortgage rates (reflecting a lower OCR), gradual loosening of the LVR restrictions, and an ongoing supply-demand imbalance are expected to provide ongoing support. However, headwinds in the form of a cautious banking sector, wary investors (particularly given policy changes), a deteriorating labour market outlook and affordability constraints limit the upside.”

Author

Sandeep Kanihama

Sandeep Kanihama

FXStreet Contributor

Sandeep Kanihama is an FX Editor and Analyst with FXstreet having principally focus area on Asia and European markets with commodity, currency and equities coverage. He is stationed in the Indian capital city of Delhi.

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