|

Gold waits for US employment data near $1290

  • Neutral market sentiment doesn't help gold find direction.
  • US Dollar Index stays flat on the day near 97.30.
  • Eyes on the U.S. March NFP report.

The XAU/USD pair is trading in a narrow channel on Friday as investors are staying on the sidelines ahead of the critical nonfarm payrolls data from the United States. As of writing, the pair was down 0.25% on a daily basis at $1289.

Yesterday, the pair slumped to its lowest level since early March after coming under strong selling pressure with the precious metal struggling to find demand amid risk-on flows that were confirmed by the rising US T-bond yields and stock markets. However, the pair was able to recover its losses after finding support near $1280 and close the day with modest gains.

Despite the late rebound yesterday, buyers are unlikely to take control of the pair's price action until it makes a daily close above the critical $1300 mark. Moreover, if the NFP figure rebounds from February's disappointing reading of 20K, the greenback could gather strength and weigh on the pair. Additionally, investors will be paying close attention to Wall Street and headlines surrounding the U.S. - China trade conflict, which could cause the risk perception to change rapidly.

Previewing today's emplıyment data, "After the two volatile months to start this year, we suspect seasonal distortion is still affecting nonfarm payrolls data. If, as we expect, Friday’s employment report shows employers added 160,000 jobs in March, the January payroll change would be traditionally categorized as the rogue payroll print for Q1-2019,” said Wells Fargo analysts.

  • US NFP Preview: 10 Major Banks expectations from March payrollsreport.

Technical levels to consider

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1289.05
Today Daily Change-3.25
Today Daily Change %-0.25
Today daily open1292.3
 
Trends
Daily SMA201301.87
Daily SMA501308.47
Daily SMA1001283.33
Daily SMA2001244.97
Levels
Previous Daily High1294.35
Previous Daily Low1281.06
Previous Weekly High1327.8
Previous Weekly Low1286.95
Previous Monthly High1327.8
Previous Monthly Low1280.1
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1289.27
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1286.14
Daily Pivot Point S11284.12
Daily Pivot Point S21275.95
Daily Pivot Point S31270.83
Daily Pivot Point R11297.41
Daily Pivot Point R21302.53
Daily Pivot Point R31310.7

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.