Gold trades below 50-DMA of $1253

Gold is trading below the 50-DMA level of $1253 after failing near $1264. 50 (38.2% Fib R of April high - May low) on Tuesday. 

Eyes Fed minutes

The minutes of the last Fed meeting due today are widely expected to reinforce the market’s expectations for June tightening. Bloomberg outs the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike in June at 95%, while the CME's model says it is about 83% discounted. 

The minutes are also expected to show some detail of Fed discussions on how it plans to reduce its $4.5 trillion balance sheet. One may expect a big drop in gold if the minutes make a strong case in favour of starting the process of reduction in the balance sheet size later this year. 

This is perhaps the biggest story in the last three years and the markets somehow have not taken it seriously enough, which is evident from the recent broad based sell-off in the US dollar. 

Gold Technical Levels

A break below $1245.36 (38.2% Fib R of Apr high - May low) could yield a sell-off to $1239.88 (Mar 31 low) and $1233.53 (23.6% Fib R of Apr high - May low). On the other hand, a break above $1253 (50-DMA) would open up upside towards $1264.50 (61.8% Fib R of Apr high - May low) and $1270.94 (Apr 7 high). 

15M Strongly Bearish Neutral Shrinking
1H Bullish Neutral High
4H Bearish Oversold Expanding
1D Bearish Neutral Expanding
1W Strongly Bearish Neutral Shrinking


Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Feed news

GME stock positioned for another short squeeze

Get the full analysis and chart in our Insights. Upgrade to Premium today    

Latest Forex News

Latest Forex News

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD loses 1.21 as the dollar extends its gains

EUR/USD has dipped below 1.21, some 70 pips down on the day as the dollar recovers alongside Treasury yields. US Consumer Sentiment beat estimates with 86.4 points. 


GBP/USD retreats amid UK GDP miss, reopening concerns

GBP/USD is hovering around 1.4150, down on the day. UK GDP missed with 2.3% in April and a four-week delay to Britain's reopening is speculated. The greenback is gaining some ground.


XAU/USD drops back below $1900, as US dollar rebounds ahead of data

Gold price has retraced below the $1900 mark once again, having tested Tuesday’s high near $1903. The latest leg down in gold price comes on the back of a tepid bounce staged by the US dollar, as the Treasury yields trim losses across the curve.

Gold News

Ethereum price prepares for a bullish weekend, targeting $3,000

Ethereum price seems prime to revisit $3,000. Although ETH faces resistance at $2,300, the upswing seems imminent. A downswing below $2,000 could invalidate the bullish thesis. 

Read more

Hot Inflation is warming the seat for the June FOMC

Americans are seeing the fastest price increases since their seventh-graders were born as inflation builds into the US economy from the disruptions of the pandemic lockdowns. Core CPI at 3.8% is the steepest gain in 29 years.

Read more