|

Gold: The $1850 support is back under the spotlight – Commerzbank

Gold (XAU/USD) completed rejection from mid-September high at $1973.80 and a breach of the $1850 would turn to a more negative bias for the yellow metal, strategists at Commerzbank report.

Key quotes

“Gold has rallied towards and failed just ahead of the 1973.80 mid-September high, and again sold off to the 1850 low, where it is holding. This has served to neutralise the market further and for now, we are neutral.”

“Should a breach of the 1850 support be seen we would allow for further losses to the 200-day ma at 1784.43 and possibly the May high at 1765.61. This in turn protects the 1714.27 55-week ma.”

“In order to regenerate upside interest, the market will need to regain the mid-September high at 1973.8, for a rally to the 78.6% retracement at 2025 which guards the target band of 2070/2088.”

Author

FXStreet Team

Composed of a group of economic journalists and FX experts, the FXStreet content team produces and oversees all content published on FXStreet. It provides a purely journalistic approach to the Forex market.

More from FXStreet Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD extends the drop to 1.3360

GBP/USD builds on Monday’s decline and briefly clinches five-day lows near 1.3360 on Tuesday. Cable’s extra pullback follows the better tone in the Greenback as uncertainty in the Middle East prompts investors to adopt a cautious stance. Meanwhile, an apathetic UK labour market report also collaborates with the selling pressure on the British Pound.

EUR/USD holds gains above 1.1400 on hawkish ECB expectations despite US-Iran tensions

The EUR/USD pair trades with mild gains around 1.1405 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. A hawkish tone from the European Central Bank provides some support to the Euro against the US Dollar. Traders await the upcoming ECB interest rate decision on Thursday. 

Gold hits one-week high, near $4,100 as bulls shrug off Fed hike bets and firmer USD

Gold advances to an over one-week high during the Asian session on Wednesday, with bulls now awaiting a move beyond $4,100 before positioning for additional gains. However, concerns about energy-driven inflation risks continue to fuel Fed rate-hike bets and act as a tailwind for the US Dollar amid escalating US-Iran tensions, which, in turn, could cap the bullion.

XRP rebounds on rising on-chain activity
Ripple (XRP) ticks up and trades around $1.13 at the time of writing on Tuesday. This rebound aligns with a broader recovery in the cryptocurrency market, attributed to reports that mediators between the United States (US) and Iran are seeking a 10-day cessation of strikes to find a way back to the signed Memorandum of Understanding (MoU).
The Iranian war has again risen
The Iranian war has again risen to the top of the economics factor list. There is no end in sight. Intelligence experts say the current level of offense/retaliation will not change minds in Tehran, while in Washington, Trump fears all-out war, which would mean boots on the ground.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.