|

Gold Technical Analysis: Remains vulnerable to retest monthly lows, around $1445 region

  • Gold surrenders early gains and drifts back closer to two-week lows.
  • The set-up favours bearish traders and points to further weakness.

Gold failed to capitalize on the early attempted positive move and has now drifted to the lower end of its daily trading range, well within the striking distance of two-week lows set on Tuesday.

Given the commodity's recent pullback from multi-year tops and a subsequent break through the key 100-day SMA support, the near-term technical set-up remains firmly in favour of bearish traders.

This coupled with the fact that the yellow metal has been trending lower along a descending trend-channel formation over the past two months or so further adds credence to the negative outlook.

Meanwhile, oscillators on the daily chart maintained their bearish bias and have been struggling to recover from the negative territory on hourly charts, suggesting an extension of the recent downfall.

Hence, some follow-through selling has the potential to drag the metal back towards monthly lows support around the $1445 region, also marking the lower end of the mentioned trend-channel.

On the flip side, the $1463 region (weekly tops) now seems to have emerged as an immediate resistance, above which the metal is likely to aim towards testing the $1472-73 horizontal resistance.

The momentum could further get extended, though seems more likely to remain capped and fizzle out rather quickly near 100-day SMA support-turned-resistance, currently near the $1487-88 region.

Gold daily chart

fxsoriginal

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1455.37
Today Daily Change0.46
Today Daily Change %0.03
Today daily open1454.91
 
Trends
Daily SMA201473.56
Daily SMA501487.81
Daily SMA1001483.96
Daily SMA2001400.07
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1463
Previous Daily Low1452.8
Previous Weekly High1478.86
Previous Weekly Low1456.54
Previous Monthly High1519.04
Previous Monthly Low1455.5
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1456.7
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1459.11
Daily Pivot Point S11450.8
Daily Pivot Point S21446.7
Daily Pivot Point S31440.6
Daily Pivot Point R11461.01
Daily Pivot Point R21467.11
Daily Pivot Point R31471.22

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD seems vulnerable near 0.6800, 10-month low amid bullish USD

AUD/USD languishes near a 10-month low during the Asian session on Friday, awaiting a break below 0.6800 before the next leg up amid a bullish US Dollar. Firming Fed rate-hike expectations, along with fading hopes for US-Iran diplomacy, help the USD hold gains at its highest level since April 2025. Moreover, the RBA’s dovish tilt undermines the Aussie and backs the case for further losses.

USD/JPY bulls turn cautious near 160.00 amid intervention risks

USD/JPY enters a bullish consolidation phase around its highest level since early September as bulls turn cautious amid intervention risk near 160.00. Meanwhile, the downside seems cushioned as the wide US-Japan interest rate gap keeps the Yen carry trade active. Furthermore, the possibility of a jumbo Fed rate hike and Middle East uncertainties hold the US Dollar near a 19-month top, supporting the currency pair.



Gold finds temporary floor near $3,850, downside risks persist

Gold rises almost 0.9% to near $3,915 in the early trade on Friday after posting a fresh 13-month low near $3,850 the previous day. The recovery move in the Gold price after a massive decline in the past few days started Tuesday appears to be short-lived as several headwinds are boosting bears to keep up the dominance.

Bitcoin slips below $70,000 for the first time since August

Bitcoin is attracting some serious sellers, pushing it below $70,000 on Friday after an over 3% decline the previous day. The Crypto King is down over 5% so far this week, and a bearish close could mark its sixth consecutive week of losses. The technical outlook for Bitcoin is bearish, with sellers tightening their grip despite overextending the downtrend to oversold levels.

Asian stocks post mixed results amid Nvidia leadership turmoil, Anthropic IPO buzz
Asian stocks post mixed results on Friday, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 Index climbing 0.91% to around 61,370 and China’s Shanghai Composite rising 0.22% to 3,660. Conversely, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index fell 0.82% to 23,810, while South Korea’s KOSPI declined 0.49% to near 5,320.
What the US CPI headline doesn’t tell you about inflation

Brent crude has fallen about a third since mid-October on hopes the Iran war is ending, but diesel, freight and fertiliser costs haven't followed. Those costs reach US consumer prices in stages through 2027 and could keep inflation high after gasoline gets cheaper.